Okay, so NOAA is confused about what is going to happen with the weather. This is what they had to say as of this afternoon

MODELS ARE STILL HAVING PROBLEMS WITH THE SPEED OF THE UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT…AND HOW IT WILL AFFECT THE DISTRICT. THE ECMWF AND THE GEM ARE MORE BULLISH WITH THE SPEED AND THE AMOUNT OF RAIN FOR THE DISTRICT…BRINGING RAIN INTO THE DISTRICT TONIGHT AND MOVING THE UPPER LOW CLOSER TO THE COAST. THE GFS/NAM/WRF ON THE OTHER HAND KEEP THE LOW FURTHER OFF THE COAST AND BASICALLY KEEP THE HEAVIEST RAIN OFFSHORE…AS WELL AS HOLDING OFF TIL FRIDAY BEFORE RAIN AFFECTS THE DISTRICT. THESE MODELS ALSO KEEP A MORE SE COMPONENT TO THE LOW LEVEL WINDS…WHICH IS DOWNSLOPE FOR MONTEREY AND SALINAS…AND IS NOT A FAVORED OROGRAPHIC SOLUTION. ALL THE MODELS HAVE THE HEAVIEST RAIN IN THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE DISTRICT.

BTW, as of 4 pm – there is nothing on the NEXRAD radar!

bigsurkate

Appointed appellate counsel for indigent defendants (retired.) I have lived in Big Sur since 1984, first on the north coast, and on the South Coast since 1989.

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