Okay, so NOAA is confused about what is going to happen with the weather. This is what they had to say as of this afternoon

MODELS ARE STILL HAVING PROBLEMS WITH THE SPEED OF THE UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT…AND HOW IT WILL AFFECT THE DISTRICT. THE ECMWF AND THE GEM ARE MORE BULLISH WITH THE SPEED AND THE AMOUNT OF RAIN FOR THE DISTRICT…BRINGING RAIN INTO THE DISTRICT TONIGHT AND MOVING THE UPPER LOW CLOSER TO THE COAST. THE GFS/NAM/WRF ON THE OTHER HAND KEEP THE LOW FURTHER OFF THE COAST AND BASICALLY KEEP THE HEAVIEST RAIN OFFSHORE…AS WELL AS HOLDING OFF TIL FRIDAY BEFORE RAIN AFFECTS THE DISTRICT. THESE MODELS ALSO KEEP A MORE SE COMPONENT TO THE LOW LEVEL WINDS…WHICH IS DOWNSLOPE FOR MONTEREY AND SALINAS…AND IS NOT A FAVORED OROGRAPHIC SOLUTION. ALL THE MODELS HAVE THE HEAVIEST RAIN IN THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE DISTRICT.

BTW, as of 4 pm – there is nothing on the NEXRAD radar!

bigsurkate

Appointed appellate counsel for indigent defendants (retired.) I have lived in Big Sur since 1984, first on the north coast, and on the South Coast since 1989.

View Comments

Share
Published by
bigsurkate

Recent Posts

No Kings Day, 10/17

SAT, OCTOBER 17th NO KINGS RALLY in Monterey at Window on the Bay, 2 pm…

21 hours ago

Full Overnight Closures on Highway 1 from 10/12 through 10/15

Date:Friday, October 2, 2026District:05 – Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Monterey, San Benito, and Santa Cruz…

2 days ago

Nepenthe’s Bal Masque

For tickets: https://www.phoenixshopbigsur.com/bal-masque

2 days ago

Mud Creek realignment to begin Monday 10/5

Date:Thursday, October 1, 2026District:05 – Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Monterey, San Benito, and Santa Cruz…

3 days ago

Full Overnight Closure of Highway One in Big Sur on Thursday, 10/8

Date:Thursday, October 1, 2026District:05 – Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Monterey, San Benito, and Santa Cruz…

3 days ago

A message from Fr. Ignatius M. Tully, Prior of New Camaldoli Hermitage

Subject: An Update from New Camaldoli Dear Oblates, Friends and Members of the Camaldolese Family,…

3 days ago

This website uses cookies.