For the period of Oct 15-19 – looks like a 40% chance of above average precipitation for Big Sur.

However, this morning’s forecast brings rain Tuesday night into Wednesday, and then the rest of the week is up for grabs.

” THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE STILL NOT IN AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE WEATHER BEYOND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE GFS AND GEM MODELS HAVE GENERALLY FORECAST ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EITHER LATE IN THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND…BUT THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO BUILD AN UPPER RIDGE OVER CA NEXT WEEKEND AND KEEPS OUR AREA ALMOST ENTIRELY DRY AFTER WEDNESDAY. THUS THE FORECAST BEYOND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK REMAINS VERY LOW CONFIDENCE.”

So far, Jade Festival weather yesterday was foggy in the am, then clear most of the afternoon before the fog rolled in late in the day. (I watched it from my ridge top all day for you!) now, it is down into the fog for me!

bigsurkate

Appointed appellate counsel for indigent defendants (retired.) I have lived in Big Sur since 1984, first on the north coast, and on the South Coast since 1989.

View Comments

Share
Published by
bigsurkate

Recent Posts

Timber Fire, Day 10, August 17, Morning Update

Heat signature map is looking really good re growth; Screenshot Timber Fire Update U.S. Forest Service…

9 hours ago

Closure of LPNF, Monterey Division due to Timber Fire

LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST MONTEREY RANGER DISTRICT FOREST ORDER NUMBER 05-07-51-26-08 TIMBER FIRE AREA, ROAD,…

1 day ago

Photos by Josh Bleibtreu 8/16/26

Lyle Southall with Big Sur Fire’s new water tender taken on Tuesday. Filling up bladders,…

1 day ago

Timber Fire, Day 9, 8/16 Morning Update

Timber Fire Update U.S. Forest Service - Los Padres National Forest Timber Fire InformationEmail: 2026.timber@firenet.gov Phone: 831-285-7006Report Release: 7:10 am on…

1 day ago

Timber Fire, Day 8, 8/15, Evening Update

CURRENT SITUATION: The Timber Fire is now about two-thirds of the way down the slope at…

2 days ago

Photos by Josh Bleibtreu

These were taken at Heidi Hopkin’s house, the last one on the road at the…

2 days ago

This website uses cookies.