Very strong El Niño + record warm Pacific = wild California winter

Daniel Swain of Weather West has an excellent discussion of what is ahead for California this winter, including graphs and visuals of all sorts.

He says, among other things that this “top-tier” El Niño is no longer a prediction, but an organizational reality.

“In the lead-up to this pattern shift, Californians should probably expect highly variable conditions (and rather unreliable weather forecasts in the short term), as these kinds of transitions are notoriously hard to capture. But there is now pretty high confidence that a fairly dramatic change in the weather is on the horizon—most likely days or weeks, rather than months, in the future.”

Fascinating reading here:

Weather West