Categories: 2015-2016 El Niño

Is there any rain in sight?

March, maybe? This is one forecaster has to say: “The next chance for rain will be late Friday into Saturday morning when a weak cold front moves into the Central Coast. Another weather system will move into San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara
Counties around the end of the month and that low pressure system is also forecast to be weak and not expected to produce significant precipitation either. However, rain chances will increase into the the first week of March and storms may get stronger by the end of that week.”

Weather West had this to say earlier this week: “There has also been a consistent wet signal in CFS seasonal forecasts for March, which would be in agreement with more recent GFS/ECMWF model trends. Therefore, I’d still say there’s a good chance that most or all of California will experience above-average precipitation going into March (although with each passing dry week it’s getting decidedly harder to make up the accumulated seasonal deficits in Southern California). Despite some recent claims to the contrary, there is still time for substantial drought relief this winter in California…but the clock is ticking.”

I must say, I am getting more skeptical as the season progresses. I am hopeful, but not optimistic at this point with only 8 days left in February.

 

bigsurkate

Appointed appellate counsel for indigent defendants (retired.) I have lived in Big Sur since 1984, first on the north coast, and on the South Coast since 1989.

View Comments

  • I remember some years, back in the 80's and 90's, when I would be lamenting a lack of snow in the Sierras, and losing hope for a decent ski season up there. Then, it would begin really snowing in March, and by April, there would be over 20 feet of snow at Kirkwood and Mammoth. One year, we were skiing at Alpine on July 4th, with a 60-foot snow depth in the upper bowls. In the Pacific Northwest, about 5 years ago, a series of intense rainstorms began with May, and continued through June, causing massive river flows. And finally, we will never forget the March 6th El Nino storm that took out the Carmel River Bridge and we had to evacuate.

  • I was wondering the same, would love for March/April to be a repeat of December/January which was perfect storms.

Share
Published by
bigsurkate

Recent Posts

OP-ED by Tim Green 5/18/24

Guest Commentary: The Best Way to KeepBig Sur Accessible? Limit Lodging DevelopmentBy Tim GreenAnyone who…

1 day ago

Linus Pauling Gets the Jitters – Guest Article by Joe Livernois

Linus Pauling Gets the Jitters At the edge of the abyss, the celebrated chemist delivered…

2 days ago

Rocky Creek will open this Friday, 5/17/24

Note: This is ONLY Rocky Creek. There are still three other closures that prevent taking…

3 days ago

Sunday Photos – VA Memory/Rose Garden – Happy Mother’s Day

Up at the VA Hospital in Palo Alto, there is a spiral that is flanked…

6 days ago

Housing Element Survey until 5/12

As part of the public input process for the County of Monterey’s Housing Element Cycle,…

1 week ago

Invasive French Broom on Plaskett

There are several places where one can barely drive through. (See collage of photos below.)…

2 weeks ago