Rain Report, Friday, 3/4/16

Here’s an eye-opening graphic! And it is raining again. 😅

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7:30 am – The first rain came in around 1 am, per my weather station. But at 3, there were stars. By 6 am, I had received .03″ and now, at 7:30 am, I have .04″ Will continue to monitor throughout the day, but in the mean time, I’ll see if I have some photos in the archives to share. Been a few weeks since I did a Foto Friday.

No problems on the highway, although there was a possible DUI last night, starting a mile up Nacimiento when the driver put the vehicle up an embankment, managed to somehow get out and head down to 1, and eventually get caught near Big Creek. Friday night, someone managed to put their brand-new TRD on his side in the bushes on Plaskett.

I’ll continue to report on conditions today, here, on this post, if warranted.

Incoming …

This could be fun! I’ve been watching the barometric pressure all day, and after rising for a while, it is finally dropping. Clouds are moving in as well.

I’m still having issues getting all my apps in line, particularly some of my weather ones, upon which I am focused. Well, that and my one shopping app. 😉

The graphic showing the atmospheric river will have to be visualized in your imagination, as even after converting it, I can’t get WordPress to recognize and import it.

Here is what Monterey NWS says: (Ed Comment: Oh, goodie!)

National Weather Service San Francisco Bay/Monterey Area

Confidence continues to increase on the upcoming storm systems set to impact the San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area this weekend. The strongest system that will bring the greatest impacts to the region is expected to push inland on Saturday. Strong and gusty southerly winds will develop ahead of the approaching system by Saturday morning and persist into the evening hours. In addition, the heaviest rainfall rates will occur from Saturday afternoon and early evening. Lingering showers will be possible Saturday night into Sunday morning along with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Another around of moderate to potentially heavy rainfall will be possible on Sunday afternoon and evening, however winds will not be as strong. Please continue to monitor the latest forecast in the coming days as we fine tune rainfall amounts and expected impacts to the region.

IMPACTS
• A series of potent storm systems will lead to periods of moderate to locally heavy rainfall on Saturday and Sunday.
• Slick roadways will likely cause longer than normal commute/travel times.
• Strong and gusty winds expected on Saturday may result in tree damage or down trees that could lead to isolated power outages.
• While widespread flooding is not currently anticipated, urban and small stream flooding will be possible through the weekend.

*Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories:
• No watches/warnings/advisories in effect at this time. However, a Hazardous Weather Outlook and Hydrologic Outlook are currently in effect for this event.
• For all current watch/warning/advisories, http://1.usa.gov/1boSTTW

FORECAST CONFIDENCE
• High confidence in locally heavy rainfall and strong winds on Saturday.
• Moderate confidence in additional widespread rainfall on Sunday.
TIMING
• A significant change in the weather pattern is expected to begin Friday with the strongest winds and heaviest rainfall likely Saturday afternoon and evening.
• A slight chance of thunderstorms exists on Sunday with additional rainfall possible.
LOCATIONS
• Widespread precipitation along with strong and gusty winds (Saturday) likely to impact the entire region from late week into the weekend.
• Heaviest rainfall totals will be over the North Bay and along the coastal ranges.
• Strongest wind speeds will likely occur on Saturday afternoon and evening with gusts of 35 to 40 MPH in many coastal and valley locations while gusts greater than 50 MPH will be likely in the higher elevations.
• Rainfall amounts through Sunday night will range from 2″ to 3″ in most urban and coastal locations (slightly higher in the North Bay and lesser amounts in the southern inland valleys).
• Coastal ranges can expected rainfall amounts to range between 4″ to 7″ with isolated higher amounts possible.

Wet Weather Forecasts coming together

Got a new iPad today, so am back online and blogging. Looks like just in time to keep an eye on these next storms. Don’t have the new locking ring for my lens, so photos aren’t forthcoming, but soon, I think.

From NOAA:

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And from John Lindsey’s forecast this am:

A major change in the weather pattern will occur as the ridge of high pressure responsible for the mostly dry February shifts toward the east. This condition will allow a series of storms to move through the Central Coast.

A cold front that will produce increasing clouds, rain showers and cooler temperatures Thursday night into Friday. Ed note – NOAA is predicting this will begin hitting the Bay Area late tonight.)

Another, but much stronger low pressure system and associated cold front will produce moderate to heavy rain throughout the Central Coast and moderate gale-force to fresh to gale-force (32 to 46 mph) southerly winds with gust to 55 mph along the coastline Saturday night into Sunday.

A secondary low pressure system will move into the San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara counties on the heels of Sunday’s storm on Monday morning with another round of heavy rain, and gale-force southerly winds. This system will be followed by moderate gale-force to fresh to gale-force (32 to 46 mph) with gust to 55 mph northwesterly winds along the coastline on Monday afternoon and night. More heavy rain is expected next Wednesday and Thursday.

Overall, between 3 and 6 inches of rain could accumulate in the North County by Thursday. Rainfall totals in the coastal valleys and along the beaches are expected to range between 4 and 10 inches, while the Santa Lucia mountains could see rain totals over 12 inches. Wet indeed!

NOTE THAT LAST LINE – SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS COULD SEE RAIN TOTALS OVER 12 INCHES!