Dolan/Coleman Fires,10/20/20

Received this last night from John Chesnut, but apparently after I lost my power for the day’s sun. Thank you John.

DOLAN and COLEMAN FIRES
Tuesday, October 20, 2020 9:00 AM
Los Padres National Forest
DOLAN INCIDENT STATISTICS Start date: August 18, 2020
Size: Approximately 124,924 acres Percent Contained: 98%
Cause: Under Investigation Resources Assigned: 249 personnel
• Engines: 16
• Handcrews: 0
• Helicopters: 1
• Dozers: 6
• Water tenders: 5
COLEMAN INCIDENT STATISTICS Start date: October 18, 2020
Size: Approximately 550 acres Percent Contained: 0%
Cause: Under Investigation Resources Assigned: 151 personnel
• Engines: 16
• Handcrews: 4
• Helicopters: 1
• Dozers: 6
• Water tenders: 5
EVACUATIONS:
There are no mandatory evacuations in effect for any portions of the Dolan or Coleman Fires.
CLOSURES:
• The Monterey Ranger District of the Los Padres NF remains closed under Closure Order Forest Order Number 05-07-51-20-22.
• Nacimiento-Ferguson RD is closed to all traffic (public and residential) from Highway 1 to the Fort Hunter Liggett base boundary line (16 miles inland).
SAFETY:
A Temporary Flight Restriction (TFR) is in place above the Coleman and Dolan fire area.
Wildfires are a No Drone Zone. Visit Know Before You Fly: http://knowbeforeyoufly.org.
TODAY:
Coleman Fire
Handcrews will be working to scout out and build handline on the south and east side of the fire. Aircraft will continue to check the fires spread as the weather allows. Heavy equipment is being moved into the area in anticipation of building dozer line on the north and north east side of the fire. The Coleman fire is expected to continue aircraft use in efforts to assist firefighters with containment.
Dolan Fire
Today crews will continue with suppression repair across the fire with a focus on the south and south west portions of the fire. Patrols will continue around the perimeter looking for hot spots and smoke. Repair work will continue around the Merle Ranch. Suppression repair and fireline rehab are being done with the goal of ensuring visitor safety once the Monterey District reopens to the public. Assessment and chipping operations continue along the Nacimiento-Ferguson Road.
YESTERDAY:
Coleman Fire
Air tankers and helicopters working the fire throughout the day were able slow the fires spread. Light winds kept the fire from making any major runs. Handcrews began scouting out and building handline. Two handcrew continued to suppress the fire through night.
Dolan Fire
Suppression repair on the west and north west portions of the fire was largely completed. Heavy equipment moved to the south side of the fire. Work continued in the Cone Peak area and around Merrel Ranch.
WEATHER:
Weather today will be slightly cooler, trending to near normal conditions this afternoon. Warm and dry conditions will persist across interior sections of the region. Relative humidifies are expected to increase slightly over the next few days.
SUMMARY:
The Coleman fire started at approximately 1200 pm on October 18, 2020, and is estimated at 550 acres with 0% containment.
The Dolan Fire started on August 18, 2020 on the Monterey Ranger District of the Los Padres National Forest. The fire has grown to 124,924 acres and is 98% contained. The Monterey Ranger District remains under a Closure Order for visitor and firefighter safety. The Nacimiento-Fergusson Road remains closed.
Inciweb: inciweb.nwcg.gov, search “Dolan”
Twitter: @LosPadresNF/ Facebook: @lospadresnationalforest Fire Information: 831-244-3762 (8 am to 6 pm daily) Email: 2020.dolan@firenet.gov

Dolan/Coleman Incidents Report, 10/19/20

TODAY:
Coleman Fire
Resources assigned to the Dolan Fire are actively engaged with a new start, the Coleman Fire, which is located adjacent to the Dolan Fire on the Los Padres National Forest and Fort Hunter- Liggett Army base. Numerous resources have been ordered to assist with the suppression effort including use of airtankers and heavy helicopters. The Eastern Area Incident Management Team has been delegated authority for suppression of the Coleman Fire.
Dolan Fire
Today crews will continue with suppression repair across the fire with a focus on the south and south west portions of the fire. Patrols will continue around the perimeter looking for hot spots and smoke. Repair work will continue around the Merle Ranch. Suppression repair and fireline rehab are being done with the goal of ensuring visitor safety once the Monterey District reopens to the public. Assessment and chipping operations continue along the Nacimiento-Ferguson Road.
YESTERDAY:
Crews made significant progress on suppression repair work along the far northwest corner of the fire, and also on the west side along Highway 1 going south toward Hermitage. Work continued along the south side of the fire perimeter as well as interior areas and near Arroyo Synco to make needed repairs. No additional smoke was reported in the Limekiln Drainage area.
In the afternoon, fire crews from the Dolan Fire assisted the Los Padres National Forest and Fort Hunter Liggett in initial attack of the Coleman Fire. This included significant commitment of aviation resources to slow the fires spread .
WEATHER:
A gradual and modest cooling trend will continue through the beginning of the week and humidity will increase slightly. Overall warm and dry conditions will persist with winds remaining light.
SUMMARY:
The Coleman fire started at approximately 1200 on October 18, 2020, and is estimated at 500 acres with 0% containment.
The Dolan Fire started on August 18, 2020 on the Monterey Ranger District of the Los Padres National Forest. The fire has grown to 124,924 acres and is 98% contained. The Monterey Ranger District remains under a Closure Order for visitor and firefighter safety. The Nacimiento-Fergusson Road remains closed.
DOLAN FIRE UPDATE
Sunday October 19 2020
,, 9:00 AM
Los Padres National Forest
DOLAN INCIDENT STATISTICS
Location of Origin: Monterey Ranger District, Los Padres National Forest Start date: August 18, 2020
Size: Approximately 124,924 acres Percent Contained: 98%
Cause: Under Investigation Resources Assigned: 249 personnel
• Engines: 16
• Handcrews: 2
• Helicopters: 1
• Dozers: 6
• Water tenders: 5
CLOSURES:
• The Monterey Ranger District of the Los Padres NF remains closed under Closure Order Forest Order Number 05-07-51-20-22.
• Nacimiento-Ferguson RD is closed to all traffic (public and residential) from Highway 1 to the Fort Hunter Liggett base boundary line (16 miles inland).
SAFETY:
Wildfires are a No Drone Zone. Visit Know Before You Fly: http://knowbeforeyoufly.org.
COOPERATORS:
California Highway Patrol California State Parks
Monterey County
Monterey County Sheriff’s Office Monterey County OES
CalFire
Cal Trans
Big Sur Volunteers
Ventana Wilderness Alliance Esselan and Salinan Tribes Fort Hunter Liggett
California Conservation Corps
Inciweb: inciweb.nwcg.gov, search “Dolan”
Twitter: @LosPadresNF/ Facebook: @lospadresnationalforest Fire Information: 831-244-3762 (8 am to 6 pm daily) Email: 2020.dolan@firenet.gov

Coleman Fire is the red circle on the right off the Dolan Fire.

BAER burn severity map

Dolan Post-Fire BAER

Unit Information

Los Padres National Forest           
U.S. Forest Service
6750 Navigator Way
Goleta, CA 93117

Incident Contact

BAER Information
Phone: 707-853-4243
Hours: 7am-7pm

Dolan Post-Fire BAER Soil Burn Severity Map Released
DOLAN POST-FIRE BAER SOIL BURN SEVERITY MAP RELEASED

Burned Area Emergency Response (BAER) specialists recently completed their data gathering and verification field work of the Dolan Fire burn area.  The Soil Burn Severity map has been finalized.  Soil Burn Severity levels are Unburned/Very Low, Low, Moderate, and High.

The map shows that in the Dolan Fire area, approximately 45% of the 124,326 acres analyzed by the BAER team is either unburned/very low (9%) or low (36%) soil burn severity, while 45% sustained a moderate soil burn severity, and 10% burned at high soil burn severity.

The BAER post-fire assessment team uses soil burn severity data to identify if there are areas of concern where increased soil erosion, accelerated surface water run-off, and debris flows have the potential to impact human life/safety, property, and critical natural and cultural resources from storm events. The BAER team consists of Forest Service scientists and specialists that are considering emergency stabilization actions for those critical resources on National Forest System lands.  The BAER team shares their analysis and findings with interagency cooperators who work with private land and business owners to help them prepare for upcoming rain events.

BAER Team Leaders Kevin Cooper and Yonni Schwartz stated, The BAER team expects erosion and run-off within the Dolan Fire area to substantially increase in watersheds that experienced moderate to high soil burn severity. In these areas, there is concern for increased post-fire run-off from steep hillslopes and channels resulting in increases in post-fire soil erosion, hyper-concentrated floods and debris flows.

The Dolan Fire soil burn severity BAER map can be downloaded at the interagency Dolan Post-Fire BAER InciWeb site (https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/7231) as a JPEG or PDF version under the maps tab.

A “Field Guide for Mapping Post-Fire Soil Burn Severity” can help with interpreting the map and can be found online at http://www.fs.fed.us/rm/pubs/rmrs_gtr243.pdf.

SPECIAL NOTEEveryone near and downstream from the burned areas should remain alert and stay updated on weather conditions that may result in heavy rains over the burn scars. Flash flooding may occur quickly during heavy rain events-be prepared to take action. Current weather and emergency notifications can be found at the National Weather Service website: www.weather.gov/mtr/

Coleman Fire 10/19

There is little info yet this am. This fire has not made inciweb (not unusual). There is a lot of smoke out over the ocean, however, so I will continue to see what I can find out. As of 8 am — The Dolan fire IMT taking command of the Coleman fire. At 0700, at briefing Coleman was active most of the night 400 to 500 acres.

Here is this am’s John Chesnut map.

New Fire — Coleman Fire

And tonight we are lucky to find John Chesnut up and running already with one of his super-duper maps of the fire area:

4:00 pm update: From Airtac “150 to 200 acres, too much smoke to work the head right now” Additional from Airtac “ Lots of potential for the head to run”

10/18/2020 12:24LPF-3161
P5EK1Y21 (0507)
COLEMANWildfireDel Venturi Rd East Of AV Ranch.BC11LPF E18LPF E315LPF4X4 E319LPF PAT37LPF Q SchollSUPT1 Cook Effective 12:58.15

40 acres, dangerous rate of spread, potential for 200 acres, Coleman/ Bear cyn. Just off Dolan Fire north end dozer line. (This is a LPF/FHL Fire.)

Airtac up the order to 5 tankers, 2 type 2 copters, 1 type 1 copter.
Evacuations for Coleman and Pine Canyons.

New Public information number for Dolan Fire

The new IMT PIO has shared a new public information phone line with me and asked me to pass it along. “I have updated the incident’s information phone line. This can be shared with the public. The number is (831) 244-3762.” This new IMT is Eastern (Silver) and at least some members are from Indiana.

Climate Change & Wildfires

I stumbled across an article in the Las Vegas Sun this morning, and thought it would be worth sharing.

“Every morning, wildland firefighters gather around radios to listen to the weather forecast. This summer, I was part of the team that fought a fire near Big Sur. When I heard the staticky voice announce that temperatures would exceed 105 degrees, the forecast sounded like a death sentence.

Across California, unprecedented heat has made wildfires more difficult to predict and control. During the heat wave in Big Sur, the fire, which had been 40% contained at 30,000 acres, tripled in size in a matter of days. It has now burned nearly 125,000 acres.”

The young man who wrote the above, and the rest of the article is a doctoral student at University of California, Santa Barbara. He is also a firefighter who was here on the Dolan Fire.

Here is where you can read the rest of this article: https://lasvegassun.com/news/2020/oct/17/the-new-line-of-attack-on-climate-science-in-the-a/