7:30 pm – A good work day, today, as the weather, while crisp, provided a mixture of high thin clouds, condensation clouds, and blue sky – completely compatible with work. Tonight, the stars are out, but not the usual dazzling display She treats me to. And that crescent moon sunset tonight? Glorious. 

8:00 am – the ground is wet, but there is nothing measurable in the rain gauge. (BTW, Dakota finally felt secure enough to stay out with the others this morning, but only for 20 mins.)

5:00 am – the 4:30 am NOAA discussion has this to “say:” (Friday looks to be clear, so enjoy it)

THE PERIOD FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY 
EXPECTED TO BE MARKED BY PERIODS OF RAIN AND RAIN 
SHOWERS WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING BELOW NORMAL DUE 
TO CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION.

Dark 30 – very early in the am –
As far as I know, rain never came this far, at least so far, and as nothing much is approaching until Saturday night, I thought I would post a photograph instead. This was taken on Highway 46 on the way to Paso Robles a couple of weeks ago.

5:30 pm – snuggled inside with all the dogs. So good about coming in before sunset. All I have to do is open the door. Nice, although Dakota REFUSES o let anyone else on the bed with us! Okay, weather report from this afternoon’s forecast discussion. It still doesn’t appear that it will have as much impact on our more southern climes. 

 

BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE HINTING THAT THERE COULD BE STRONG
WINDS SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF RAIN.
HOWEVER...THERE ARE STILL SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS

 

2:00 pm – this posted on the NOAA forecast discussion, apparently after or around the time of my last post. This potential may be only for areas north of us, but those of us in Big Sur should monitor this:

THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM OVER THE WEEKEND...
PARTICULARLY SAT NIGHT AND SUNDAY. ONCE AGAIN...THE MODELS ARE NOT
IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS...HOPEFULLY THE 12Z ECMWF HELPS WITH THE
DETAILS.

10:00 am – Correction, there is a 40% chance of rain for tonight, then slightly less chance for the rest of the week, including Sunday. At least nothing significant is being reported for now. A little breather, an opportunity to dry out somewhat, and catch up on other aspects of our lives, which for me is about 2000 doggie kisses and hugs!

5:00 am – Now that my beloved Dakota is back, I will return to the usual programming. The winds have been significant all morning, but no indication of rain.

There is only a possibility of scattered showers in the forecast for the rest of the week, although potential rain on Sunday. And CHP is reporting no incidences at this time.

Have a great day, everyone. I certainly will, now that I have found my dog.

Gorgeous blue sky, this morning, and I understand we MAY have good weather the rest of the work week. Let’s hope, anyway, as it certainly helps my mood. There is a slight chance of showers, Wednesday through Friday, but I could really use a break from dismal.

The pack and I are doing well. I want to keep my remaining three close, indoors, and under my watchful eye. It would not be fair to them. Instead, I just poke my head outside every 10 minutes or so, and check on them as they bask in the sunlight. They are all staying very close, thankfully.

Also, while I posted it on the announcement page, just a reminder that the BSMAAC meeting scheduled for this Friday has been postponed to Friday March 20th. See announcement page for the rest of the schedule for this year.

11:00 am – Rain seems to have stopped. Received an additional .50 inches, for a season total of 27.5 inches. CHP reports no road problems in Big Sur, but a friend, who drove north from the Deli reports that there are many standing water puddles which will cause one to hydroplane, if one is not careful.

8:00 am – It has continued to rain most of the night. I received .75 since last report for a season total of 27 inches. CHP website is reporting no problems on Highway One in Big Sur at this time.

9:30 pm – continuous rain for the past two hours. Life goes on, even when death steps into our path. 

7:45 pm – the rain started up again and it is of about the usual intensity, not too heavy, but definitely not light.

1:30 pm – Another 1/4 inch today, but the rain stopped some time ago. The wind has been quite significant all day. I’m sorry I haven’t been keeping up with my weather reports. I lost my favorite dog yesterday to a mountain lion. Dakota was very special.

8:00 am – .5 inches for the storm, thus far, 26.0 inches for the season. Wind is significant. No problems on the road in Big Sur currently being reported on CHP website.

NOAA forecast discussion this morning:

THE BURN AREAS SHOULD REMAIN TO THE SOUTH OF THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL. HOWEVER...WITH SUCH A MOIST AIRMASS STREAMING
INLAND AND WITH THE MODELS STRUGGLING WITH THE SPECIFICS 
OF THIS COMPLEX SYSTEM...WILL NEED TO BE WARY OF ANY 
SUDDEN UPSWING IN RAIN RATES IN THE BURN AREAS...OR ANYWHERE 
ELSE FOR THAT MATTER.

3:30 am – rain on and off all night, and so far this morning. I’ll post storm and season totals when it is light enough to see them. Some wind, but not too bad.

5:30 pm – the rain started. 

7:00 am – Good morning. As all in the area can report, we have the cloud cover of the next storm overhead. NOAA forecast discussion is putting the heaviest rainfall north of SF, fortunately, but of course, we’ll still have to keep an eye on this one, as it develops. Here is the good news:

THE GOOD NEWS FOR THE BURN AREAS OF SANTA CRUZ AND MONTEREY COUNTIES
IS THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THOSE
AREAS. EVEN SO...WILL NEED TO BE WARY OF ANY INDICATION THAT HEAVIER
RAIN MAY END UP DEVELOPING FARTHER SOUTH THAN WHAT THE MODELS
CURRENTLY INDICATE.

This was last night’s sunset. I love the colors and light at sunset. Snow was still at the top of Cone and Twin Peaks. Amazing after several days of sunshine.

I am trying to upload  a photo of the ducks on the Big Sur River taken by a friend, who apologized for the quality. It’s still cute!  Had some trouble uploading photos last night, and again this morning. Will insert when I can.

I guess a new storm blowing in Saturday night through Monday. Haven’t been keeping close track. I have checked out the forecast discussion, and this one will bring in some sub-tropical rain, as well, so it bears watching.

This from NOAA’s Hazardous Weather Outlook:

A STORM SYSTEM WILL SPREAD RAIN THROUGH OUR AREA STARTING SATURDAY
AFTERNOON IN THE NORTH BAY. ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL SOME DISAGREEMENT
BETWEEN THE VARIOUS COMPUTER MODELS...THERE IS GENERAL CONSENSUS THAT
WE WILL RECEIVE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION FROM THIS SYSTEM. RAINFALL
TOTALS UP TO 1.5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN LOWER ELEVATION AREAS BY
MONDAY NIGHT WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE COASTAL HILLS.
And this from the Special Weather Statement:
...SIGNIFICANT RAIN TO RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

...PERSONS NEAR FLOOD PRONE AREAS AND THE BURN AREAS SHOULD START
TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS...

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Nothing to report, other than rain totals, which I’ll get to shortly. Looks like I’ll see the sunrise in a few minutes, for a change, and have a nice quiet day for working.

Big Sur weathered these series of storms well, and came out of them in remarkable shape, due in no small part to the planning and preparations of Cal-Trans. We all owe them a debt of gratitude. Remarkable work, everyone!

9:45 pm = raining again, or still, not sure as I’ve had to deal with some family issues. Life likes to throw more than one fruit in one’s basket, no?

6:45 pm – Rain pretty much continuous for the past 40 minutes, although what I would consider “normal” not too heavy, and not light. Let’s hope this is the last of it until the weekend. We need a drying out period.

6:05 pm – another cloud burst with lots of rain. Sorry, I got side-tracked and forgot to check my rain gauge before dark. I’ve had a lot on my plate with personal matters for the last few days.

5:00 pm – WOW, our temporary blockage here in Big Sur made the news in Santa Maria tonight. 

3:30 pm – one of those “scattered showers” NOAA predicted for this afternoon, just scattered over me. Hope you are all staying dry and warm. Cuddling up by the fire, if you have one, or under a comforter, if you don’t, with at least one dog next to you, and a book in your lap. That’s the way to spend the rest of the afternoon, if you can.

And from the latest NOAA forecast discussion. It looks like we will be getting a break for a few days. Whew!:

.DISCUSSION...AS OF 2:45 PM PST TUESDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH
 THE EVENING THEN MOSTLY DRY THROUGH FRIDAY. NEXT STORM ON TAP FOR
 THE WEEKEND.

2:30 pm – had some amazing hail, earlier. The ex came up and said Plaskett still open. No downed trees. Still hail on the ground. Will give the rain total for the day at the end of the day. Apparently, I forgot to record this morning’s hail on the blog. I will check my calendar records. Also, Big Sur River flow rate back up to 1060. That’s an increase from earlier.

12:12 pm – had some pea size hail. Neighbor informs me we had 145 mph winds up here this weekend. Probably when everything was going sidewise.

11:30 just received from MAF: “Just an update from Steve Dean from USFS; North Coast Ridge Road is closed due to debris flow and there is something going on at Sycamore Canyon.  Steve is going to check on the Sycamore Canyon road but hasn’t come back yet.  If I hear anything I’ll let you know.”

10:45 am – Highway One open, and has been CHP forgot to update their site. Also received an email regarding Partington Canyon. It stated in part that the canyon flashed at least 8-10 ft. above creek bottom over the weekend.

10:15 am – no indication on the CHP website that the road is open, yet.

9:56 am – MAJOR hail storm. The ground is covered with white. I sometimes cannot get an entry up for some minutes after I first start trying on wordpress. Too much traffic? But the times I put up are when I first start trying to post.

9:38 am – Cal-Trans expects to have road open in 1/2 hour.

9:15 am – advisory (downgraded from warning) re flooding in effect until 10:15 am.

8:30 am – first hand report on slide:

Hi Kate,  all is well here in the valley.  The news is saying Sycamore Canyon slide,  but really is at Fernwood, just south.  Clearing out, our guys south of there made it to here no problem earlier.  I had 8 10ths of an inch this a.m.  Lots of Thunder.  Molly got in bed with me, Billy pooped.  Creeks and River staying in their banks.  Looking forward to a little drying out and opening windows.  Talk to you later.

8:00 am – SERIOUS THUNDERSTORM. Also, a friend from town sent me this at 6:00 am (I was still asleep) The Warning should have expired by now – expired at 6:45, but please be alert!! Also, other slides mentioned on the CHP site, but cleared before I woke were at Salmon Creek, JNO of Pheiffer (? JPB?) and Sycamore Canyon. Several of these slid yesterday: 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS FOR… MONTEREY COUNTY IN CENTRAL CALIFORNIA… THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BIG SUR VILLAGE…

* UNTIL 645 AM PST

* AT 603 AM PST… NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN JUST OFF THE BIG SUR COAST.

MUD SLIDES AND ROCK SLIDES CAN POTENTIALLY TRAP AND KILL PEOPLE CAUGHT IN THEIR PATH. 

7:30 am – hail woke me at 3:30 am. Currently have .6 of an inch, and it continues to rain. Mudslide at Sycamore Canyon at 6:06 am this morning. Currently both lanes closed, while Cal-Trans works on it. Will be closed about 15 mins. and then 2-3 more times while it is cleared.

8:30 pm – rain started in earnest about 1/2 hour ago. Heads up, as there are accidents being reported in places where slides were previously reported. 

5:59 pm – CHP reports a rock slide just north of Rocky Point in NB lane. CHP should be able to move them by hand. Same reported, basketball size in NB lane near Pt. Sur.

5:15 pm – Whoa!! Heavy hail, the entire ground is covered in white from only a few minutes of heavy, intense hail. And so starts what promises to be an interesting evening.

5:00 pm – Rain has started again. From this afternoon’s forecast discussion:

400 PM PST MON FEB 16 2009

 .DISCUSSION...AS OF 2:45 PM PST MONDAY...VERY ACTIVE WEATHER 
ON TAP FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
RADAR IS ALREADY PICKING UP SOME STRONG CELLS...INCLUDING AT 
LEAST ONE LIKELY HAIL PRODUCER...OVER MONTEREY BAY AT THIS 
HOUR WITH DBZ VALUES UP TO 60. CONSIDERING THIS IS HAPPENING 
WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE REALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS...TONIGHT 
AND TOMORROW LOOKS QUITE STORMY.
4:30 pm – Yes, I am still here. I’ve been tracking the CHP site all afternoon, too. Unless you want a report on the naps of my four dogs, I’ve had nothing to report. Oh, except the flow rate of the Big Sur River has declined. Topped out at 1200 cu. ft./sec. and was down to 1040 the last I checked, but boy it sure has risen, based on what I have watched on the webcam all afternoon.
1:00 pm – I was just going to post that it was quiet, but the wind picked up slightly, and it has begun to rain again. Coming down quite significantly, a combo of rain, slush, and snow. At least the winds aren’t bad!! For those that don’t know, I am at 3250 ft. The cloudburst lasted less than 15 minutes, and all quiet since – a harbinger of things to come this evening, I expect.
11:30 am – no new slides reported by CHP during the last hour.
10:45 am – RAIN TOTAL CORRECTION – I did not read it from inside correctly. I received 3.5 inches yesterday and last night, bringing the season total to 23.75 inches. Sorry for the error. Hard to read from inside, when it has been blown around. Also, CHP no longer reporting slide at Salmon Creek. Our Cal-Trans crews are working hard and we are all so VERY appreciative. Thank you!
10:14 am – CHP reports large rock slide at Salmon Creek blocking NB lane.
10:00 am -Big Sur River flow rate is growing significantly. Was 900 cubic feet at 8:15 am, and now 1200 cubic feet per second at 9:45 am. Keep an eye out, everyone!!
As JK reports in the comment section, at 9:06 am a slide just south of Burns Creek has closed both lanes. As of 10:00 am, chp is reporting nothing. But I suspect slides will continue throughout the day with the rain totals we have been having. We have had rain the last 6 days, and 10 day out of these first 16 days of February.
8:30 am – Rain total for yesterday and last night was 4.5; season total 24.75 inches. CHP reports traffic hazards all over Monterey and Santa Cruz Counties, but nothing regarding Highway One in Big Sur. Cal-Trans also reports nothing.
Debbie reports she spent the night in town, and drove in this morning and there was lots of rock in the NB lane, but everything passable, at least to the Valley. Power is on, creeks and rivers within their banks. Thanks for the first hand report, Debbie!
Friend in town says this morning’s news reported a slide in Carmel Highlands, blocking the road.
There was a line down in front of River Inn last night a little after 11 pm that started a small fire, but everything controlled.
And finally, the Big Sur River discharge rate has jumped to almost 900 cubic feet per second as of 8:15 am.
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