Okay, here is this afternoon’s forecast discussion:
THE UPSHOT IS THAT SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION BY SATURDAY...AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TIMEHEIGHT CROSS SECTIONS INDC THAT THUNDER IS POSSIBLE... SO HAVE ADDED IT TO THE FCST. WITH THE WET BULB ZERO AS LOW AS 1000 FEET AT TIMES SMALL HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THE CONVECTION. TEMPS WILL BE COLD WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S ACROSS THE DISTRICT AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 30S. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL VARY ANYWHERE FROM 1500 TO 2500 FEET...AND DOWN TO 1000 FEET AT TIMES. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES MIGHT BE NEEDED BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR SNOW ON THE BAY AREA HILLS... POSSIBLY AFFECTING ROADS IN THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND THE NORTH BAY HILLS. AS THE WEEKEND APPROACHES THE DETAILS SHOULD BECOME CLEARER CONCERNING SNOW LEVELS AND HOW MUCH SNOW IN THE HILLS.
I am waiting for the afternoon models to be analyzed, but until then, this was posted for the 9 am discussion:
"TODAY SHOULD BE THE LAST DRY AND WARM DAY FOR QUITE A WHILE." So, whatever you do, ENJOY!
And here’s the most recent discussion (3 am) from NWS:
LATEST MODELS BRING THE FIRST CHANCES OF RAIN TO THE NORTHERN ZONES AS EARLY AS FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN PRECIP CHANCES SPREAD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA ON SATURDAY AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWARD JUST SKIRTING THE WEST COAST. THE ENTIRE DISTRICT WILL SEE SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY AS A COLD AIRMASS SPREADS ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. THE COOL AND SHOWERY REGIME WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK AS THE UPPER TROUGH REMAINS ANCHORED ALONG THE WEST COAST. AS 700 MB TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO LOWER TO MINUS 16 DEGREES AND 1000-500 MB THICKNESS VALUES DROP AS LOW AS 526 MB...SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO 2000-3000 FEET OR LOWER BY TUESDAY. COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER TO PERSIST BEYOND MIDWEEK AS THE DISTRICT REMAINS IN AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN.