NOAA’s Global Forecast System (#GFS) 0600Z model run is advertising between 2 and 4 inches of rainfall with heavier amounts in the Santa Lucia Mountains, while the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (#ECMWF) is predicting between 3 to 6 inches. Due to the subtropical nature of this system, snow levels will be above 8,000 feet and could cause flooding due to snow melt in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. Please stay tuned for watches and warnings from the National Weather Service’s offices at weather.gov/lox/ and weather.gov/hnx/. It’s a good idea for residents in flood-prone areas to have emergency plans in place and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. Learning from past experiences and using that knowledge to inform present and future decisions are always valuable.
After a break in the rain on Sunday and Monday, another storm is forecast to produce gusty southerly winds and rain on Tuesday into next Wednesday. (John Lindsey, Meteorologist for PG&E, SLO Co.)
Another Meteorologist, Dr, Ryan Maue, writes:
Friday is first major Pineapple Express onslaught of moisture into California. Then, early next week another sequence of storms.
Rain and snowfall estimates are astounding for next 1-2 weeks.
Sad to say, but this type of rain/snow combo in mid-March is all trending from bad to worse.