Storm Watch, 2/4/10

As of 9:30 pm, it looks like 3/4 of an inch, but I can’t be sure in the dark. Will post total when it is light.

And for those who have been following the George Carpenter story, 3 volunteers from the SLO 4×4 club came up with a flat bed trailer today and gathered George’s truck up. They were followed by members of George’s family. The family realized that George could have no better resting place than the one he found. He chose his final home, here in the mountains of the South Coast of Big Sur.

Pretty significant rain here for the past couple of hours. Here is the 7:30 Nexrad Map:

4:30 Nexrad Map:

Today’s Cal-Trans update, and all future ones, unless an emergency closure, have been moved to the Cal-Trans page to the right.

As of 3:30 this afternoon, the rain has started here, and it is quite cold, ranging around 44 degrees. A bit of wind to top it off. Looks like a blustery evening ahead!

DISCUSSION…AS OF 8:50 AM PST THURSDAY…MAIN FOCUS THIS MORNING WILL BE DEVELOPING RAIN OVER THE NEXT 3-6 HOURS.

A SYSTEM CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH 130W WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER THROUGH SATURDAY….PRECIP WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY OVER THE N BAY AND THEN GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTHWARD BY THIS AFTERNOON. WILL LIKELY DO AN UPDATE THIS MORNING TO INCREASE PRECIP CHC FOR MOST LOCATIONS N OF SAN JOSE. AS FOR PRECIP AMOUNTS…INITIALLY QPF WILL BE LIGHT BUT SHOULD INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THECOLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND.

DOING A BLEND OF REALITY AND MODEL FORECAST WOULD PUT THE COLD FRONT THROUGH MUCH OF THE CWA BEFORE 12Z FRIDAY. AFTER 12Z FRIDAY… A MORE SHOWERY SET UP WILL FOLLOW THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ADDRESSED WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE TO TREND TOWARD SHOWERS FOR THE FRIDAY FORECAST. IN ADDITION…SNOW LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY DROP LATER FRIDAY WITH A FEW PLACES OVER 4500 FT IN MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTY SEEING SOME WET SNOW. PRECIP AMOUNTS FOR THE EVENT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WILL GENERALLY BE 1-2 INCHES IN THE NORTH BAY…TO 0.5-1.5 INCHES IN THE BAY AREA…TO 0.25-1.5 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE CWA. FOR MANY OF THE MOUNTAINS AND TERRAIN FAVORED SPOTS IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

THE REST OF THE FORECAST SEEMS GOOD FOR NOW. EXPECT AN UPDATE SHORTLY.