Storm Watch, 2/4/10

As of 9:30 pm, it looks like 3/4 of an inch, but I can’t be sure in the dark. Will post total when it is light.

And for those who have been following the George Carpenter story, 3 volunteers from the SLO 4×4 club came up with a flat bed trailer today and gathered George’s truck up. They were followed by members of George’s family. The family realized that George could have no better resting place than the one he found. He chose his final home, here in the mountains of the South Coast of Big Sur.

Pretty significant rain here for the past couple of hours. Here is the 7:30 Nexrad Map:

4:30 Nexrad Map:

Today’s Cal-Trans update, and all future ones, unless an emergency closure, have been moved to the Cal-Trans page to the right.

As of 3:30 this afternoon, the rain has started here, and it is quite cold, ranging around 44 degrees. A bit of wind to top it off. Looks like a blustery evening ahead!

DISCUSSION…AS OF 8:50 AM PST THURSDAY…MAIN FOCUS THIS MORNING WILL BE DEVELOPING RAIN OVER THE NEXT 3-6 HOURS.

A SYSTEM CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH 130W WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER THROUGH SATURDAY….PRECIP WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY OVER THE N BAY AND THEN GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTHWARD BY THIS AFTERNOON. WILL LIKELY DO AN UPDATE THIS MORNING TO INCREASE PRECIP CHC FOR MOST LOCATIONS N OF SAN JOSE. AS FOR PRECIP AMOUNTS…INITIALLY QPF WILL BE LIGHT BUT SHOULD INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS THECOLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE INLAND.

DOING A BLEND OF REALITY AND MODEL FORECAST WOULD PUT THE COLD FRONT THROUGH MUCH OF THE CWA BEFORE 12Z FRIDAY. AFTER 12Z FRIDAY… A MORE SHOWERY SET UP WILL FOLLOW THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ADDRESSED WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE TO TREND TOWARD SHOWERS FOR THE FRIDAY FORECAST. IN ADDITION…SNOW LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY DROP LATER FRIDAY WITH A FEW PLACES OVER 4500 FT IN MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTY SEEING SOME WET SNOW. PRECIP AMOUNTS FOR THE EVENT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WILL GENERALLY BE 1-2 INCHES IN THE NORTH BAY…TO 0.5-1.5 INCHES IN THE BAY AREA…TO 0.25-1.5 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE CWA. FOR MANY OF THE MOUNTAINS AND TERRAIN FAVORED SPOTS IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

THE REST OF THE FORECAST SEEMS GOOD FOR NOW. EXPECT AN UPDATE SHORTLY.

One thought on “Storm Watch, 2/4/10

  1. The drive from Pacific Valley School to Carmel was hellish! Heavy rain with plenty of gale force+ gusts, particularly north of Big Sur. Going up Hurricane Pt., The wind blew the spray from my wheels from behind my truck out ahead for over 40 feet, exceeding my speed of 35-40 mph. I have pasted below the text from tonight’s additions to my “Cyclone Parade” article. At NWS, you can see the GOES satellite photos to which the text refers…
    ————————————————————–
    Feb 4: The storm arrives. High south winds crank up be noon, dark clouds in weird-looking bands over the mountains. Then about 4pm, heavy rain begins with gale gusts. You can see the front passing right over Central California. It is a long one, spanning the whole West, from Vancouver, where the center of the cyclone is. A second wave is developing right behind the front. In the “full disk” shot, you can see the procession of at least three cyclonic systems. And…note that intense typhoon in the Southern Hemi, off New Zealand. It is really connected to both the tropical and polar air masses with the visible “wings” from Antarctica to the Equator! Even our storm system has a band of tropical moisture connected to that typhoon’s upper “wing. Things are really active in the entire Pacific…El Nino time???

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