From Daniel Swain of Weather West:
From the National Weather Service through the Monterey County Office of Emergency Services, there will be a significant accumulation of rain over the next 36 hours. As the ground saturates, earth movement is possible.
The next system is very strong and moisture laden.
The heaviest rains will begin late evening and into the overnight hours into Wednesday.
The Soberanes and Chimney burn scar areas could see significant rainfall totals when this storm passes. They still do not have a handle on any significant rain rates and when those may occur. But high rain rates over the burn areas are cause for concern. They are looking at that this morning as the latest model runs are coming in.
The total rain accumulation over the Big Sur Coastal mountain areas could be upwards of 7 inches over the next 36 hours.
The Chimney burn scar area could see significantly higher amounts of rain. This could have a significant impact on the water sheds that burned that feed Lake Nacimiento.
They believe that Monterey County will see the greatest impact after sunset and through the overnight hours into Wednesday morning.