Rain & Road, 2/3/17

7:30 am – it was quiet last night, then Just before 3 am, the cats & dogs started pounding on the roof. The South Coast 24 hour rain amounts are 2.84″ at Chalk Peak, 3.15″ at Three Peaks, and 2.74″ at Mining Ridge. That’s a lot of rain for 24 hours on saturated ground. We will be seeing movement from this. The CHP website log hasn’t been updated since yesterday at 9:46 am, so will have to wait to see what CHP, CT, or locals have to say, but it can’t be good out there with this much rain.

From Meterologist John Lindsey: “Another but stronger low-pressure system will bring
increasing clouds and rain showers Sunday evening and night. As the associated a cold front approaches the Central Coast, the southerly winds will increase to moderate gale-force to fresh gale-force (32 to 46 mph) levels on Monday. This system is forecast to tap into a large plume of subtropical moisture. Consequently, 2 and 3 inches of rain may fall on Monday with higher amounts in the coastal mountains.” BTW, Rocky Butte got over 4″ in the last 24 hours. (Up in the mountains behind and north of Hearst Castle)

Rain & Road, 2/2/17

9:46 am – closure back in place at Ragged Point on the south end.
9:46 AM 8 [10] 27-N24 OPEN F/RAGGED PT TO LIMEKILN / CLOSURE BACK IN PLACE @ RAGGED PT [Shared]

8:30 am – Consistent with what Cal Trans put out last night – From the CHP log:
6:10 AM 5 [5] OVERNIGHT CLOSURES **SR1 WILL REMAIN CLOSED OVERNIGHT FRM RAGGED POINT (SLO MM 72.87) TO DLOAN POINT (MONT MM 29.70) AND ALSO WILL REMAIN CLOSED IF IT IS RAINING DUE TO THE INSTABILITY OF THE ROCK/MUD SLIDES.

Rain down here 1.38″ at Anderson Peak and 1.5″ at Three Peaks. NOAA says: “Wet start to the year looks to stay in place at least through mid-month.” Rain on and off throughout the day, with another system coming in tonight through Friday, then a bit of a break on Saturday, and another system Sun-Mon.

(this post will be updated throughout the day as needed, but new post with CT update, when received.)

Incoming …

img_1901

The rain coming in this afternoon/evening and continuing through Friday, then again Sunday through Monday will likely create more problems on the road, possibly at existing sites, and possibly at new places. Flooding is predicted to be likely with the Sunday-Monday storm, so pay close attention to any alerts or warnings.

On the Mud Creek Slide, I did get the photos of the top back side of the mountain from Rock Knocker yesterday, and the explanations. The problem is, I need to be able to draw on them, to explain what one is seeing, and that hasn’t worked out well, yet. Will continue to try. I have tried 3 different apps, so far, and none have worked satisfactorily for my needs. Will try again today.

Upcoming Storms

Current, 1/31/17, predicts for late Wednesday (tomorrow) through Friday indicate:

“By that point rainfall amounts will likely range from 2.5″ to 5″ for higher elevation spots with many urban locations in the .75″ to 1.50″ range. Thankfully local rivers and streams have greatly receded due to several dry days (and recent warmer weather), which will provide a buffer against the first round of rain.”

Then Sunday night through Monday is slated to bring:

“This will lead to a higher risk for flooding. Early numbers indicate that urban locations can expect another 1/2″ to 1.25″ with higher elevation spots generally in the 1.5″-3″ range.

Rain will change back to showers later on Monday with a third system indicated on the GFS for Tuesday (ECMWF shows dry weather).”

Cal Trans Update, 1/30/17

img_1893

Photo of Anderson Creek Slide (PM 35.4), after being cleared on Saturday afternoon, Jan. 28.

Thank you for your patience and understanding. Our Maintenance and Geotech crews have been working diligently, clearing, cleaning, and scaling as much as safely possible in response to these rock/mudslides.

***SAME INFORMATION AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON***

*We have cleared the slide at Anderson Cyn (PM 35.4), but still have numerous slides between the closure points, the largest being at: Mud Creek (PM 8.88), Paul’s Slide (PM 21.6) and Big Creek (PM 28.09).

All Motorists may travel south on Hwy. 1 from Carmel to Dolan Pt. (PM 29.70)
or travel north from Cambria to Ragged Point.

CHP is monitoring the closure at Dolan Pt.

Another update will be provided Tuesday, Jan. 31 around noontime, or sooner if conditions change.

Susana Z. Cruz
Caltrans District 5
Public Information Officer/

Now, to offer my own personal observations. I saw Mud Creek yesterday with Rock Knocker. He was quite concerned at what he saw and is afraid we will lose the road there. The mountain is moving and the geologists have left all sorts of markings so they can check the timing and amount of movement going on. The road is buckled in 3 places. One crack has water running into it and out the West Bank causing considerable erosion. At the Duck Pond, just the next historical slide to the south a 1/4 mile or so, there is a 36″ pipe that goes under the road and disperses the water running into the large drain. That pipe is disgorging what appears to be hundreds of gallons a minute. I an not a good judge of this, but to give you an idea, much of this water was going straight out this very large pipe, not down at all. If Rock Knocker feels up to it (he gave me this darned flu) he is going up to the top and hopes to take photos for me and explain them so I can post a more informed, factually-based opinion tomorrow.

Some uninformed people seem to be of the opinion that since the road is “cleared” people should be allowed through. (The Chamber posted a photo provided by Treebones yesterday, but that may not infer that they are “encouraging” traffic.) That is extremely dangerous thinking. This spot is far from safe, and no unnecessary travel through it should be encouraged. When she goes, she will bury anything in her path. I wouldn’t want to contribute to anyone getting injured. Do you?

Meetings tomorrow & Public Comment

First, is this one:
There will be a regular Big Sur LUAC meeting on Tuesday, January 31, 2017. The Big Sur LUAC will be reviewing a landowner building project for the County with a site visit at 9:00AM. After the site visit, there will be a project review and a LUAC determination of the project at the MAF.

Another meeting will be held at approximately 10:30AM at the MAF (depending on when the LUAC completes its project review), with Melanie Beretti from County Planning.

The item scheduled on the County agenda follows:

PUBLIC COMMENT:
The Committee will receive public comment on non-agenda items that are within the purview of the Committee at this time. The length of individual presentations may be limited by the Chair.

SCHEDULED ITEMS

Monterey County Staff are in the process of developing an ordinance, starting with the existing Inland ordinance (Transient Rental of Residential Property for Remuneration 21.64.280), to permit and regulate Short-term Rentals in the Coastal Zone. Staff is in the process of developing a clear definition of Short-term Rentals and updating County codes to reflect these definitions. Staff is also in the process of evaluating proposed ordinances to regulate Short-term Rentals against all of the Local Area Plans to identify unique issues and consider appropriateness of Short-term Rentals in each area. Staff is requesting input from the Land Use Advisory Committees. Please provide input on the development of the ordinance.

Second: Also, there is a BOS meeting tomorrow and  discussion will be had which impacts STR. I’ll try to get up more about this later. Still fighting this crapola flu.

Here is one comment about the BOS meeting sent to Mary Adams’s office:

The discussions about the priority and importance of attracting (and I would hope sustainably retaining) visitors to our local economy is apparently measuring success primarily by the gross TOT collected. (See discussion of focus area on page 7 of the Strategic Initiatives report). THIS IS SERIOUSLY FLAWED REASONING. Transient Occupancy taxes are imposed to address the impacts of public facility use by folks who are not here to pay property taxes or other taxes and fees residents pay to maintain our public infrastructure. Thus properly the gross TOT collected should be first and primarily used to be sure that at least the direct impacts of visitors are addressed. In Big Sur this is certainly not the case now. The celebrated significant increased visitor traffic is resulting in a number of impacts that are being externalized to the resident public, like clearing litter and human waste, safety issues and the traffic woes of which everyone is aware, and this is unsustainable. In this area too primary emergency services are provided by volunteer fire departments, which rely on residents to staff and fund them. Cumulative wear and tear on roads, bridges, parks, trails and other public infrastructure is less immediate but also important. I don’t have direct knowledge of all the other areas affected (the 156 corridor comes to mind) but I am sure they also have needs relating to the direct impacts of increasing numbers of visitors. Please consider asking that the funds collected thru TOT be used first to address identified direct visitor impacts as this tax was created to do before being released for other general fund needs. If help is needed in identifying such impacts it can be provided! (This is of course an important element in the discussion of STR policy as well.) Thus any discussion of TOT as general fund revenue or as a measurement of success should be of the net amount after direct impacts are addressed vs the gross total.

Third, from the USFS re the community fuel breaks. A public meeting with be held 2/15/17 from 5:30-7:30 at the USFS Big Sur Station and on 2/16/17 at the Kind City Office at the same time:

img_1890img_1891img_1892

A couple slide photos by DMT

Taken yesterday by Michael Troutman. Top to Bottom: Paul’s Slide, Cow Cliff, Anderson.

Also, scaling will be taking place today at Cow Cliff’s, but will make time and space for locals to get through, when possible. Unsure re Anderson, yet.

img_1876img_1877img_1878

Cal Trans Update, 1/26/17

img_1875

Photo of Rock Scaling at Anderson Canyon (PM 35.4 ) today.

Thank you for your patience and understanding. Our Maintenance and Geotech crews have been working diligently, clearing, cleaning, and scaling as much as safely possible in response to these rock/mudslides.

***NEW INFORMATION***

*We have numerous slides between the closure points, the largest being at: Mud Creek (PM 8.8, shown above), Paul’s Slide (PM 21.6), Big Creek (PM 28.09) and at Anderson Cyn. Bridge (PM 35.4)

CONTINUOUS SLIDES KEEP ROAD CLOSED FROM RAGGED POINT (SLO PM 72.87) TO FULLER’S (MON PM 42) DUE TO ROCK/MUDSLIDES AT MULTIPLE LOCATIONS. All Motorists may travel south on Hwy. 1 from Carmel to Fuller’s (PM 42) or travel north from Cambria to Ragged Point.

CHP is monitoring the closure at Fuller’s.

Another update will be provided tomorrow at noontime, Friday , Jan. 27, or sooner if conditions change.

Susana Z. Cruz
Caltrans District 5
Public Information Officer/

Palo Colorado Closure last night, 1/25/17

Below photos are tonights [ed note- last night, I couldn’t down load them] photos from the overflow of rocky creek which resulted in the hard closure of Palo at mile marker 3.3

Ed van Weijen

Road Update #2 and Big Creek Photos, 1/23/17

Paul’s Slide has gotten worse, so if you could reach it,  no escorts are being allowed. Here are a number of photos of the Big Creek Slide by Dave Nelson, Thomas Leahy, David Halterman, and Mark Readdie. This is not going to be opened up anytime soon.  This notice below is what Cal Trans sent out, but I heard from a local that a couple people from Esalen got through 35. Only way out for some people.

\”NEW INFO—PAUL’S SLIDE (PM 21.6) HAS WORSENED, NOT PASSABLE/ESCORTABLE TODAY…NEW SLIDES KEEP ROAD CLOSED FROM FULLER’S TO RAGGED POINT

+++CHP CONTINUES WITH NORTHERN CLOSURE OF HWY. 1 AT FULLER’S (PM 42)–EMERGENCY VEHICLES ONLY ALLOWED THRU ANDERSON CLOSURE–LOCALS WILL BE CITED BY CHP AND NOT ALLOWED TO TURN AROUND+++

State Route 1 CONTINUES closed from Ragged Point (SLO PM 72.87) to Fuller’s(MON PM 42) due to rock/mudslides in multiple locations.”

img_1851img_1852img_1854img_1855

img_1856img_1857