Soberanes Fire, Day 52, 9/11/16

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10:30 am – Per Greg Fain at Tassajara Zen Center, there was no IR map last night as the pilot was sick. John Chesnut writes: “Attached is a map with a revised perimeter based on the OPS Branch VI topo map — hand drawn on GE. [Google Earth?] The OPS map has fire to the crest above Willow Creek, but not down the south bank slope. Fire to edge of the lower Lost Valley Creek, but not across up the north-facing south bank. Fire comes down an un-named drainage on the east to very near the Arroyo Seco.”

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8 am – John Chesnut says: “No new perimeter for Sunday is on the Fire server. I check back after 10 or so. The VIIRS satelllite is current however (2 AM overpass).
The Radio chatter called in new air attack yesterday due to the spotting towards Arroyo Seco, so this is the best I can do on the spread toward that drainage.”

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7 am – still no IR Topo Map, but here is the briefing map in screen shot, with a link to the original. I did find the acreage for today on the progression map – it is 105,642 for an increase of 1795 acres.

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Briefing Map in PDF

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Progression Map in PDF

And an evacuation status map for today:

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Evacuation Status Map in PDF

5 am – many of you will be reflecting on 15 years ago on this date, and I honor that. I will be focusing on what is happening here … Now …

Given the run to the south east yesterday in the Willow Creek (East) drainage and the mandatory evacuation of Tassjara from Chew’s Ridge South, and the evac warning for Tassajara Road from Chew’s Ridge North and Carmel Valley Road east to Arroyo Seco, I was anxious to get up early and see the fire’s progression on the morning IR Topo Map, but no such luck. As of 5 am, it is still not posted, or not to be found. All the other information is available, but without this map, most of the rest is of no assistance because there is no frame of reference. I can add today’s fire behavior and weather predictions discussions though, and then I will come back in a couple hours and check on the IR Topo map again.

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Evacuation Order for Tassajara RD from Chew’s Ridge to Zen Center

U. S. Forest Service – Los Padres National Forest

SOBERANES FIRE: EVACUATION ORDER
9:00 PM
September 10, 2016

An evacuation ORDER for Tassajara Road from Chews Ridge south to the end of the road at Tassajara Hot Springs has been issued by the Monterey County Sheriff Department effective 9 p.m. on Saturday, September 10, 2016.

The previous evacuation WARNING continues for the Tassajara Road from Chews Ridge north to Carmel Valley Road and roads that leave from that section of Tassajara Road.

All residents covered by this evacuation Order need to leave the area. Be sure to take any medications, pets, important documents, and family valuables. Close all windows and doors before leaving.

Tassajara Fire & weather

As most of you know, the Tassajara Fire is pretty much over. Yesterday, it was 217 acres and 90% contained, the last 10% has been inaccessible.

We have a monsoonal flow coming in from the south. Slight chance of rain and lightning, but very slight, NWS says for our area. Any lightning anticipated here or over the Sierras is expected to be “Wet” not dry. Winds last night were strong enough to displace my sun umbrella. Guess I’ll fold it up and put it away for the day.

From my perspective up here this am, light, fluffy clouds to the north of me, and dark, almost ominous, skies to the south.

Oh, and I could not get any photos of the rock shed Saturday to post here. It was socked in with fog on the coast.

Tassajara Fire, day two

1:00 pm – posted on wildlandfire, Cal Fire is being released, must not be any structure threats.

10:00 – acreage mapped at 169. 0% containment. Crews being flown in for direct attack. The smoke I have been watching all morning is quite dark. Still less than yesterday.

6:30 am – USFS is saying the forward motion of the fire has stopped, but it is still shaky. Today will tell the tale.

From here, the smoke is much less this am than it was last night.

Fire in Tassajara?

8:00 pm – the USFS lowered their estimate to 200-250 acres, per inciweb. If you know how to use inciweb, this is incident 3522.

5:00 pm – per USFS, 500 acres and 0% containment. I have a satellite map sent to me by
Kelly O’Brien of KUSP, and a resident of Jamesburg. It is about 1/3 of the way from the Zen Center to Chews Ridge, which is where my reader’s photo was taken. For perspective, itis about 12 miles due East of Big Sur’s Ventana Inn. IF my Internet ever cooperates tonight, I will get them up.

4:00 pm – major smoke visible behind Cone Peak. I have a photo, as well as a photo from a reader who is closer, but haven’t been able to either download or upload. Having trouble with my email, for some reason, natch. Not happy!

3:15 pm – smoke visible in Salinas Valley, per one commentator below. As he says, not a good sign.

2:45 pm – it is just north of the Zen Center and only 5 acres at this point, but trying to keep out of the river bed. If it gets into the river bed greater potential to spread, per Cal Fire. Aircraft are on it.

2:30 – LPNF WildCAD posted this, then stopped working at 1:38 –

07/17/2013 13:09 LPF-2176 Tassajara Smoke Check Tassajara Hot Springs . 7EDW1 BC11LPF CRW1LPF CRW4LPF DIV1LPF E16LPF 4X4 E17LPF E19LPF E338LPF 4X E37LPF E41LPF HEL527LPF HEL528LPF PAT17LPF F PAT18LPF F WT4LPF . . .

So the helicopters I heard might have been theirs. This indicates a “smoke check.” I have inquiries out, so will see what info I can get. As we are so aware, from the Basin Complex of 2008, Tassajara is Big Sur’s backyard.

2:00 pm – scanner traffic indicating a fire in Tassajara, and fire trucks from Big Sur seen heading out. I can hear helicopters, but don’t know if it is connected. Will continue to try to find additional Information.