Category: 2012-2013 Weather

Weather Alert

A COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD RAIN INTO THE NORTH BAY ON TUESDAY MORNING… THEN SOUTH ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON… AND FINALLY INTO THE MONTEREY BAY AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE A BREAK IN THE WET WEATHER FOR MUCH OF TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE A SECOND ROUND OF PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND END BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM ONE-QUARTER TO ONE-HALF INCH. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.
THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS QUITE COLD AND SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO 3000 FEET BY LATE TUESDAY AND AS LOW AS 2500 FEET BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ON AREA MOUNTAIN PEAKS ABOVE 3000 FEET… ESPECIALLY IN THE SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS OF MONTEREY COUNTY WERE A COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE BY LATE WEDNESDAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE LOCALLY GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST NEAR THE COAST WHERE LOCAL WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

Very strong El Niño + record warm Pacific = wild California winter

Daniel Swain of Weather West has an excellent discussion of what is ahead for California this winter, including graphs and visuals of all sorts.

He says, among other things that this “top-tier” El Niño is no longer a prediction, but an organizational reality.

“In the lead-up to this pattern shift, Californians should probably expect highly variable conditions (and rather unreliable weather forecasts in the short term), as these kinds of transitions are notoriously hard to capture. But there is now pretty high confidence that a fairly dramatic change in the weather is on the horizon—most likely days or weeks, rather than months, in the future.”

Fascinating reading here:

Weather West

Rain, Road Conditions, and other Sunday Musings

5:00 pm – final rain tally: .55″ nice

This is just north of the construction zone at Cow Cliffs by Big Creek, although CHP puts it north of Lucia. Yes, it is north of Lucia, but so is Nepnthe. I’ve been seeing the cow cliffs area referred to this way for a while. CORRECTION IT IS SOUTH OF LUCIA NEAR DIFFERENT CONSTRUCTION.

2 [5] 1039 27-S3
10:24 AM 1 [2] LARGE BOULDER / BLOCKING NB LANE
Unit Information
10:32 AM 1 Unit Assigned

10:30 am – I wrote a post an hour ago and thought it was published, but I see no indication of same. Strange. I’ll try again. I was awake at 5:00 am, so when the rain started at 5:45, I was ready. Once it startd, it poured. My gauge measured .20″ in 15 minutes. I was without power, but not completely without Internet, and  couldn’t post, until I started the genie at 9:30 am. I had received .48″ by 8:30 am. There were some road problems, 10 flooded at Harnell, for sample. Lots of traffic accidents, though.

Welcome, El Niño. Nice to have you pay us a visit. Be safe, everyone!

Culvert Repair, Carmel Highlands, Thursday, 11/12

MONTEREY COUNTY – An emergency culvert repair project will take place on Highway 1
at Highland Drive in Carmel Highlands for one day only on Thursday, Nov. 12, Caltrans
officials have announced.

Motorists will encounter one-way reversing traffic control with flagging on northbound Hwy.
1 at Highland Dr. from 9 am to 12 noon on Thursday, Nov. 12 only.

Motorists can expect a delay not to exceed 15 minutes.

This project will repair a deteriorated culvert to improve drainage in preparation for winter
rains.

Wildfire, LPF, Santa Barbara County – Gilbraltar Fire

From CAL FIRE at 0919 hrs.

• 60-70 acres, brush, 0% contained
• Moderate Rate of Spread
• 69 degrees, 55% RH, wind NNW @ 15 mph, increase with gusts to 40-50 mph
• Structures are threatened
• 12 Tankers assigned including VLAT
• CAL FIRE air and ground resources assigned

8:00 am – A wildfire broke out at 5:30 this morning on the Los Padr s National Forest above Montecito Hills. An evacuation warning has been issued, per KSBY. This is what has posted on WildCAD:

10/29/2015 05:30 LPF-3471
P5 J4XB (0507)
GIBRALTER Wildfire Camino Cielo . AA07LPF BC51LPF BR802CHU CRW3LPF CRW4LPF DOZ3LPF DOZ4LPF E335LPF E342LPF 4X E343LPF E352LPF E41LPF E44LPF E46LPF E47LPF 4X4 E55LPF E801CHU E803CHU PAT38LPF PAT44ALPF WT3LPF WT4LPF Capt342 w/ SBC BC510 Effective 25 (acres)