Storm Report, 1/8/19

2:30 pm – from a comment below that I think is important to repeat up here:

Sorry, No Tourist Tuesday today. I wrote it last night, with links to the research, but this morning, it was gone. I either …

Hi Folks, so the pattern change i spoke of last month is taking shape, however the storm track pathway is more typical ( may i say “normal” for once!) from a more northerly angle rather than pineapple express storms or atmospheric river storms which have been our pattern the last few years. One major teleconnection enforcing this northerly flow is the Madden Julian Oscillation is rather locked up in the West equatorial Pacific and is not propagating as quick or even at all into the central and eastern Pacific regions but could start shifting in couple weeks. The precipitation composites affiliated with this phase is generally dry for us so its looking more and more likely our wet pattern could stick around for a while. Looking down the road the wet pattern continues thru at least next Tuesday with moderate to weak storms hitting every couple days. Moreover, looking even further out things get real intetesting around Jan 25-28th period when we could see our first real big storm of the likes we havent seen in a while and could be one to seriously prepare for! These smaller storms are priming the land for landslides and river flooding and by the end of the month saturated lands could begin to impact our hills stability and our river bank capacities. Some are calling this Winter “The little Nino that could” and might be fitting term by mid February.

Sorry, No Tourist Tuesday today. I wrote it last night, with links to the research, but this morning, it was gone. I either didn’t save a draft or put it in the queue and now the information it was based on was closed out. So, today will be all about the upcoming storm.

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~ by bigsurkate on January 8, 2019.

3 Responses to “Storm Report, 1/8/19”

  1. Hi Folks, so the pattern change i spoke of last month is taking shape, however the storm track pathway is more typical ( may i say “normal” for once!) from a more northerly angle rather than pineapple express storms or atmospheric river storms which have been our pattern the last few years. One major teleconnection enforcing this northerly flow is the Madden Julian Oscillation is rather locked up in the West equatorial Pacific and is not propagating as quick or even at all into the central and eastern Pacific regions but could start shifting in couple weeks. The precipitation composites affiliated with this phase is generally dry for us so its looking more and more likely our wet pattern could stick around for a while. Looking down the road the wet pattern continues thru at least next Tuesday with moderate to weak storms hitting every couple days. Moreover, looking even further out things get real intetesting around Jan 25-28th period when we could see our first real big storm of the likes we havent seen in a while and could be one to seriously prepare for! These smaller storms are priming the land for landslides and river flooding and by the end of the month saturated lands could begin to impact our hills stability and our river bank capacities. Some are calling this Winter “The little Nino that could” and might be fitting term by mid February.

    Like

  2. Oh, boy. Thanks, Paul. I am going to copy this to the post itself, as I think it is important.

    https://bigsurkate.blog Do not forward, please

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  3. Thanks Kate for the weather report and I’ll be carefully watching January 25 – 28th!

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