10/30/08 – 10:00 AM
The winds here have really picked up. The Monterey Herald is reporting a chance of thunderstorms tonight, and again on Saturday night. Weather.com is NOT predicting such an event, but it IS predicting a wind event, with gusts up to 45 mph. Could be an interesting weekend, that is for sure! Hang in there, everyone, and above all, BE SAFE, especially my friends in flood-prone areas. Are you reading this gals?? You know who you are!!
Also, please mark your calendars for two items. CPOA annual meeting on Nov. 6th, and a special art showing at the Hermitage on Nov. 8th. Details of both events are posted on the announcement page.
Dave Allen sent me the info re this storm that is coming. There are apparently two, one Thursday night into Friday, and a second, Saturday into Sunday. Small craft advisories have been issued. Here are the stats:
THU SW WINDS 15 TO 30 KT...OCCASIONAL GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND WAVES BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FT. MIXED SWELL NW 2 TO 4 FT AT 11 SECONDS AND S 2 FT AT 14 SECONDS. THU NIGHT SW WINDS 15 TO 30 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. W SWELL 3 TO 5 FT AT 11 SECONDS AND S 2 FT AT 13 SECONDS. SHOWERS LIKELY. FRI SE WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 5 FT. W SWELL 3 TO 5 FT AND S 2 FT. CHANCE OF RAIN. SAT SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...BECOMING SW 15 TO 25 KT. WIND WAVES 3 TO 6 FT. W SWELL 5 TO 7 FT INCREASING TO 9 TO 11 FT. RAIN LIKELY. SUN SW WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. WIND WAVES 1 TO 3 FT. W SWELL 10 TO 13 FT AND S 2 FT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. Dave also sent me a satellite photo, but technical difficulties are preventing me from posting it here, so check out your favorite weather station. Santa Maria is reporting that Thursday/Friday is not going to be much but the Saturday/Sunday system might bring significant rain. Get ready, boys and girls, this seems to be the beginning.
All I can say about the rains that are coming… prepare. I know you generally do, but put aside at least twice as much food etc as usual for winter. They have told us that there could even be power outages here (nothing new).
I loved the jade fest pictures! MOREEEEEEEEEE Please 🙂
Yup…it’s blowin’ out there. We’re right on the southern edge of the action. If you check the GOES satellite photo, you’ll see a big spiral jellyroll of clouds off Oregon. That’s the CYCLONE. The band of clouds being pulled up from the lower left side is the warm tropical air, which is the “warm front” It will give the first dollop of rain. Also, the counterclockwise rotation accounts for the southerly gales. So if the wind howls from the south in Big Sur, that means that there’s a cyclone a’comin’ in. The top of the spiral is vacuuming cold arctic air down around the top of the cyclone’s spiral. The whole works gets stirred together counterclockwise like a mixmaster blender, the warm moist air rising and dumping tons of rain. That’s called convection. The mountains of Big Sur amplify the convection, so you really get a dump. So that’s it!
Stay safe, and hope the cyclone steers more north and we get a nice plant-germinating 1/4 incher instead of a three-incher!
I’ve been hearing bets about the height of the wall of mud that’s supposed to come down the Big Sur Gorge…20′, 40′, 80′???
Hope not!
Stay aware, stay safe.
Nothing like a fisherman to REALLY understand the weather, Capt. Lingcod, aka Dave Allen. Thanks so much for your insights!!
Thanks for the kudo…I often go out on a day that Duncan Parrish calls a “David Allan Day”…gale winds, 20 foot seas. My life depends on calling the shots. It’s the real stuff, and a wrong call could cost me my life.