I sent out a test message tonight to those email addresses I have. I have set up an emergency email list, called “Storm Watch 2008.” If you did not receive this test message, and you want to be on the email list, send me an email at: email@example.com with “Storm Watch 2008” in the title, and I will add your name to the list.
Unless it is an immediate emergency, this blog will still be the major source of my reporting of information. Also, for those out of the area who want to remain updated, everything I send via the emergency email list will also be posted here, so you will not need to be on the email list. Of course, you are always free to call me, too, if you are away from your email and want to check on conditions. Again, my number is 831-818-8026. If that number is ever out of service, for any reason (like the time I lost my charger), the voice mail will direct you to my other number.
Let’s hope this winter will not bring the dire predictions we are hearing about. OTOH, it is better to be prepared and not need it, then not prepared, and need it, as we all know.
I will be following the rain totals throughout tomorrow afternoon and evening. Otherwise, I’ll be home working. Have a peaceful, relaxing Hallowe’en, everyone! Remember, tomorrow night, daylight savings time ends. And with that, I bid you goodnight.
6:00 PM – Rain totals: .25 for storm; .50 for season. Tomorrow afternoon should be interesting, and I will report on rain activity as necessary.
NOON – Slight rain, on and off, nothing to speak of or even measure. Will continue to provide rain totals three times a day on the days when I am home, for those interested.
7:30 AM -Rain gauge total this am is .25 inches here at 3272′ in the Santa Lucia Mountains for the storm, .50 inches for the season. Very mild indeed. Still some wind, but pretty quiet.
Sorry about the fonts and spacing. Can’t seem to get it to change, line up, or do anything I want it to do. The information is there, it is just hard to read.
ICS being instituted by Frank Pinney, who reports at 7:OO am, including the weather predictions for our area:
ICS Core Group:
Below is the National Weather Service
prognostication for today and the weekend.
Note the potential for 3” of rain in the Santa
Lucia Mtns coincides with the number spoken at
the SEAT meeting Wed night by the forecaster.
(Total up to 4” for the system)
Let me know by email now if you will be
available Saturday for consultation by
phone or email or both.
I do not expect that we will need to convene
at the MAF during this event, and it will be
an opportunity to observe how information
about the storm conditions gets to us and
can be used to correlate what’s happening on
Anyone have rain gauge figures storm-to-date
from your location?
The period of most likely storm activity
appears to be Sat PM into the evening. I have
some of your cell # but not all. Please send
the number if you have one and we don’t
regularly contact each other by cell.
Thanks for your diligence. We will try to keep
everyone up to date on developments.
I take comfort in my Mom’s counsel, “Our worst
fears never happen.”
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA CA
444 AM PDT FRI OCT 31 2008
.DISCUSSION...AS OF 3:57 AM PDT FRIDAY...THE
FIRST WAVE OF SHOWERS HAS MOVED THROUGH THE
DISTRICT LAST EVENING BUT ONLY DROPPED LESS
THAN A QUARTER INCH. THE NEXT WAVE OF SHOWERS
IS CURRENTLY MOVING ONTO THE COAST FROM ABOUT
SAN MATEO COUNTY NORTHWARD. KMUX IS
CURRENTLY SHOWING RESPECTABLE REFLECTIVITY
RATES OF UP TO 40 DBZ WITH THIS RAIN BAND...
ALTHOUGH THESE REFLECTIVITIES ARE ALOFT...
AROUND 7000-8000 FEET AGL. AFTER THIS IMPULSE
MOVES THROUGH...LOOK FOR A DECREASING SHOWER
TREND THROUGH THE DAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS
DECREASING AS WELL. THE WIND ADVISORY IS
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6
AM...AND WILL ALLOW THIS TO END AT THAT TIME
AS CURRENT WIND SPEEDS
ARE ALREADY ON THE DECLINE.
FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...PERIODS OF LIGHT
RAIN ARE POSSIBLE TODAY
INTO TONIGHT AS A MOIST SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW CONTINUES AHEAD OF
THE NEXT STRONGER SYSTEM DUE IN ON SATURDAY.
RAINFALL ON FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE CONFINED PRIMARILY TO
AREAS (I.E. SOUTHWEST-FACING SLOPES).
THE SATURDAY SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LOOK STRONGER AND MUCH WETTER
COMPARED TO WHAT WE`VE SEEN THUS FAR SINCE
THURSDAY. THE MODELS
AGREE REASONABLY WELL ON TIMING...INCREASING
RAINFALL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE BULK OF
THE RAINFALL IS STILL EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF
UNTIL LATE SATURDAY
MORNING AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN THE SF BAY
AREA...AND LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE MONTEREY BAY AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS WITH
THE SATURDAY SYSTEM ARE PROJECTED TO RANGE
FROM 0.5 TO 1.0 INCH AT
LOWER ELEVATIONS...FROM 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES IN
THE COASTAL HILLS...TO
AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES IN THE SANTA LUCIA
MOUNTAINS OF MONTEREY COUNTY.
THAT MUCH RAINFALL IS DEFINITELY A CAUSE FOR
CONCERN IN THE BURN
AREAS...PARTICULARLY IF THE BULK OF IT FALLS
WITHIN A RELATIVELY
SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. AS OF NOW THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO
FALL OVER THE BURN AREAS OF SANTA CRUZ AND
MONTEREY COUNTIES DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS OF
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING AHEAD OF THE INCOMING SYSTEM.
LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS
ARE LIKELY AND WINDS ADVISORIES MAY BE
IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL
REMAIN ACTIVE INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAINFALL WILL LIKELY TAPER
OFF ON SUNDAY...BUT THEN
PICK UP MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING AS THE NEXT
ACROSS NORTHERN CA. THE MODELS AGREE THAT DRY
WEATHER WILL RETURN BY