Storm Watch, 2/11, part II

10:00 pm – rain has continued on and off for the past 3 hours, heavy at times. Also, I have had email “issues” all afternoon and evening. Hopefully, it will clear up in the am. I will post rain totals and season totals at my usual time.

7:00 pm – rain began, also windy, as well as what MAY be distant thunder. Unsure of latter at this point.

This afternoon’s forecast discussion just released, and it looks to be a doozy. Boy, are we in for it.

SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WITH 
AMPLE MOISTURE TO USE AND SNOW LEVELS CRASHING DOWN TO 2000 FEET 
A SNOW ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE NORTH BAY... EAST BAY... 
AND SANTA CRUZ AREAS OVER 2000 FEET. 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED 
BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000 FEET WITH UP TO 6 INCHES OVER 3000 FEET.

MORE INTERESTING IS WHAT IS SHAPING UP FOR THE WEEKEND AS 
ANOTHER LOW TAKES AIM ON OUR AREA. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF 
HAVE BEEN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE LOW 
AND SHOW MOISTURE STREAMING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. WITH PW 
VALUES FORECAST TO BE UP TO AN INCH AND DYNAMICS LOOKING 
VERY FAVORABLE THIS COULD TURN OUT TO BE QUITE A WET SYSTEM. 
AFTER A CALL WITH RFC...WENT WITH QPF VALUES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES 
FOR HIGHER TERRAIN OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA WITH UP 
TO 4 INCHES OVER HIGHER TERRAIN FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE 
CWA. SINCE THIS WILL BE HITTING JUST AFTER SEVERAL STORM SYSTEMS 
THIS WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR HYDROLOGICAL CONCERNS. 
PERSONS AROUND THE BURN AREAS SHOULD DEFINITELY FOLLOW THE UPCOMING
FORECAST PACKAGES.

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