Mystery, originally uploaded by wind_dancer.
I expect to be busy the next few days, so don’t expect to be blogging until the storm rolls in on Wednesday night. Instead, I leave you with another one of my photos from my Enchanted Forest series.
My driveway takes on another life in the fog … one of fairies, elves, and trolls. It is a mysterious forest that watches me as a guardian might.
Today, California stopped paying some of its bills. I am one of the “bills” it stopped paying. Newspapers throughout the state are fighting back with the written word, and editorials are ending up on the front page. (San Jose Mercury, for one)
It is time to do away with the 2/3rds majority vote, particularly as California’s minority party uses it to hold all of us hostage. Only two other states require a “super majority” – Rhode Island and Arizona. It works for them, but not for us.
Enough is enough.
Three more days of gorgeous weather, then Wednesday night, rain moves into the area. Thunderstorms possible on Thursday. This is what the NOAA forecast discussion had to say:
THINGS WILL FINALLY CHANGE ON WEDNESDAY AS A WELL-ADVERTISED LOW OUT IN THE PACIFIC TAKES AIM ON OUR COAST. THIS LOW WILL START TO TAKE SHAPE ON TUESDAY AS A CHUNK OF ENERGY BREAKS OFF FROM A TROUGH AROUND 140W. BY WEDNESDAY THE LOW WILL BE JUST OFF THE COAST SOMEWHERE BETWEEN OUR CWA AND THE LOX CWA. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF THEN LIFT THE LOW TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARD SF BAY WHILE THE HIGHEST PW VALUES ARE DIRECTED TO OUR SOUTHERN CWA AND POINTS TO THE SOUTH. ANOTHER PIECE OF ENERGY WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THIS FIRST LOW AND PROVIDE A REINFORCING SHOT OF MORE MOISTURE GOING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT LIFTED VALUES DOWN AS LOW AS MINUS 2 WHICH WOULD DEFINITELY TRANSLATE TO SOME THUNDERSTORMS IN OUR AREA WITH THE MAIN FOCUS SOUTH OF SF BAY. SHOWERS WILL START TO END FIRST IN THE NW AREAS FRIDAY EVENING AND THEN TO THE SOUTHEASTERN CORNER OF OUR CWA SATURDAY MORNING.
MORE THAN TWO INCHES POSSIBLE FOR SPOTS IN THE LOS PADRES. AGAIN…
THIS IS STILL FIVE DAYS OUT AND THE MARGIN OF ERROR
FOR A QPF FORECAST THAT FAR OUT IS QUITE HIGH.
HOWEVER DUE TO GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE SOLUTIONS…LOW
SPREAD IN BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLES…AND GOOD RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY THERE IS ABOVE NORMAL CONFIDENCE FOR A FORECAST
OUT THAT FAR.
