Weather Report from atop a mountain, 11/24/15

5:00 pm – final report today, unless all hell breaks loose. .32″ rain, 38 degrees outside, 62 degrees inside. I watched the VHS of the news reports of Feb 1998 and the Cal Trans tape of the Duck Pond, 1993. Fascinating stuff. Rain fall totals in 1998 surpassed 1995 when the Carmel bridge went out, and the El Niño of 1982-1983. I spent several hours trying to digitalization these, but no luck, yet. Will try again after Thanksgiving. Didn’t get the soup made today, so gotta get on it tomorrow.

1:00 pm – it’s raining cats and dogs. Just .21″ so far, but it is still early.It is 47 degrees outside and 64 in. I finally figured out my new VHS/DVD recorder/converter. I am pretty savvy, but I swear, an Electrical Engineering degree, or IT degree would have been handy. I found a Cal Trans VHS of the Duck Pond taken in 1993 after it started moving – 22 years ago, and I get to save it for future road nuts! Someone had climbed up the hill and recorded all the cracks, following them down to the road, and the water fall coming off the mountain. Fascinating, if you are a geologist or road nut. Rock Knocker will be tickled on Thanksgiving. I will make him a DVD, and also make one for our current Supervisor  Greg De Alba. He can get a close up look at what Mother Nature is capable of doing on his road! Next up, 1998 Storm reports from KION and KSBW. I hope to break my rule about uploading videos to my blog, and post a few minutes at a time, if I can figure that out!

At 8:00 am – it started drizzling, soft and gentle. It was 45 outside and 57 inside. I started a fire in one part of the house, and set up the propane heater in another. Trying to stay head of the cold. Will update as weather dictates. Stay safe and warm out there. As for me, I will be working on my butternut squash and apple soup for Thanksgiving. Also got my VHS to DVD converter yesterday, so hope to start converting the 1998 storm report news segments from VHS to DVD. Rock Bob recorded them for me in town in the way back times (17 years, actually.)

Weather Alert

A COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD RAIN INTO THE NORTH BAY ON TUESDAY MORNING… THEN SOUTH ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON… AND FINALLY INTO THE MONTEREY BAY AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE A BREAK IN THE WET WEATHER FOR MUCH OF TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE A SECOND ROUND OF PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND END BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH WEDNESDAY ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM ONE-QUARTER TO ONE-HALF INCH. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE.
THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS QUITE COLD AND SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO 3000 FEET BY LATE TUESDAY AND AS LOW AS 2500 FEET BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ON AREA MOUNTAIN PEAKS ABOVE 3000 FEET… ESPECIALLY IN THE SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS OF MONTEREY COUNTY WERE A COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE BY LATE WEDNESDAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE LOCALLY GUSTY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST NEAR THE COAST WHERE LOCAL WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

Very strong El Niño + record warm Pacific = wild California winter

Daniel Swain of Weather West has an excellent discussion of what is ahead for California this winter, including graphs and visuals of all sorts.

He says, among other things that this “top-tier” El Niño is no longer a prediction, but an organizational reality.

“In the lead-up to this pattern shift, Californians should probably expect highly variable conditions (and rather unreliable weather forecasts in the short term), as these kinds of transitions are notoriously hard to capture. But there is now pretty high confidence that a fairly dramatic change in the weather is on the horizon—most likely days or weeks, rather than months, in the future.”

Fascinating reading here:

Weather West

Rain, Road Conditions, and other Sunday Musings

5:00 pm – final rain tally: .55″ nice

This is just north of the construction zone at Cow Cliffs by Big Creek, although CHP puts it north of Lucia. Yes, it is north of Lucia, but so is Nepnthe. I’ve been seeing the cow cliffs area referred to this way for a while. CORRECTION IT IS SOUTH OF LUCIA NEAR DIFFERENT CONSTRUCTION.

2 [5] 1039 27-S3
10:24 AM 1 [2] LARGE BOULDER / BLOCKING NB LANE
Unit Information
10:32 AM 1 Unit Assigned

10:30 am – I wrote a post an hour ago and thought it was published, but I see no indication of same. Strange. I’ll try again. I was awake at 5:00 am, so when the rain started at 5:45, I was ready. Once it startd, it poured. My gauge measured .20″ in 15 minutes. I was without power, but not completely without Internet, and  couldn’t post, until I started the genie at 9:30 am. I had received .48″ by 8:30 am. There were some road problems, 10 flooded at Harnell, for sample. Lots of traffic accidents, though.

Welcome, El Niño. Nice to have you pay us a visit. Be safe, everyone!