Upcoming Storms

Current, 1/31/17, predicts for late Wednesday (tomorrow) through Friday indicate:

“By that point rainfall amounts will likely range from 2.5″ to 5″ for higher elevation spots with many urban locations in the .75″ to 1.50″ range. Thankfully local rivers and streams have greatly receded due to several dry days (and recent warmer weather), which will provide a buffer against the first round of rain.”

Then Sunday night through Monday is slated to bring:

“This will lead to a higher risk for flooding. Early numbers indicate that urban locations can expect another 1/2″ to 1.25″ with higher elevation spots generally in the 1.5″-3″ range.

Rain will change back to showers later on Monday with a third system indicated on the GFS for Tuesday (ECMWF shows dry weather).”

New Update, 1/30/17

***NEW INFORMATION, BEGINNING TOMORROW MORNING, TUESDAY, JAN. 31***

DURING DAYTIME HOURS ONLY: Motorists may travel north on Hwy. 1 from Cambria to Limekiln Creek Bridge (PM 21.3) or south on Hwy. 1 from Carmel to Dolan Pt. (PM 29.70). *

*We have a failed culvert just north of Sand Dollar Beach at PM 14.4, requiring Caltrans to have daytime one-way traffic control and flagging at two locations: 1) at Mud Creek (PM 8.8) and 2) just north of Sand Dollar Beach (PM 14.4).

OVERNIGHT CLOSURES: Hwy. 1 will remain closed overnight from Ragged Point (SLO 72.87) to Dolan Pt. (MON. 29.70)

The roadway is not passable between Paul’s Slide (PM 21.6) and Big Creek (PM 28.09).

Thank you for your patience and understanding. Our Maintenance and Geotech crews have been working diligently, clearing, cleaning, and scaling as much as safely possible in response to these rock/mudslides.

Another update will be provided tomorrow afternoon, Tuesday, Jan. 31, or sooner if conditions change.

Susana Z. Cruz nature-flower-blue-motif[1]
Caltrans District 5
Public Information Officer

Cal Trans Update, 1/30/17

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Photo of Anderson Creek Slide (PM 35.4), after being cleared on Saturday afternoon, Jan. 28.

Thank you for your patience and understanding. Our Maintenance and Geotech crews have been working diligently, clearing, cleaning, and scaling as much as safely possible in response to these rock/mudslides.

***SAME INFORMATION AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON***

*We have cleared the slide at Anderson Cyn (PM 35.4), but still have numerous slides between the closure points, the largest being at: Mud Creek (PM 8.88), Paul’s Slide (PM 21.6) and Big Creek (PM 28.09).

All Motorists may travel south on Hwy. 1 from Carmel to Dolan Pt. (PM 29.70)
or travel north from Cambria to Ragged Point.

CHP is monitoring the closure at Dolan Pt.

Another update will be provided Tuesday, Jan. 31 around noontime, or sooner if conditions change.

Susana Z. Cruz
Caltrans District 5
Public Information Officer/

Now, to offer my own personal observations. I saw Mud Creek yesterday with Rock Knocker. He was quite concerned at what he saw and is afraid we will lose the road there. The mountain is moving and the geologists have left all sorts of markings so they can check the timing and amount of movement going on. The road is buckled in 3 places. One crack has water running into it and out the West Bank causing considerable erosion. At the Duck Pond, just the next historical slide to the south a 1/4 mile or so, there is a 36″ pipe that goes under the road and disperses the water running into the large drain. That pipe is disgorging what appears to be hundreds of gallons a minute. I an not a good judge of this, but to give you an idea, much of this water was going straight out this very large pipe, not down at all. If Rock Knocker feels up to it (he gave me this darned flu) he is going up to the top and hopes to take photos for me and explain them so I can post a more informed, factually-based opinion tomorrow.

Some uninformed people seem to be of the opinion that since the road is “cleared” people should be allowed through. (The Chamber posted a photo provided by Treebones yesterday, but that may not infer that they are “encouraging” traffic.) That is extremely dangerous thinking. This spot is far from safe, and no unnecessary travel through it should be encouraged. When she goes, she will bury anything in her path. I wouldn’t want to contribute to anyone getting injured. Do you?

Meetings tomorrow & Public Comment

First, is this one:
There will be a regular Big Sur LUAC meeting on Tuesday, January 31, 2017. The Big Sur LUAC will be reviewing a landowner building project for the County with a site visit at 9:00AM. After the site visit, there will be a project review and a LUAC determination of the project at the MAF.

Another meeting will be held at approximately 10:30AM at the MAF (depending on when the LUAC completes its project review), with Melanie Beretti from County Planning.

The item scheduled on the County agenda follows:

PUBLIC COMMENT:
The Committee will receive public comment on non-agenda items that are within the purview of the Committee at this time. The length of individual presentations may be limited by the Chair.

SCHEDULED ITEMS

Monterey County Staff are in the process of developing an ordinance, starting with the existing Inland ordinance (Transient Rental of Residential Property for Remuneration 21.64.280), to permit and regulate Short-term Rentals in the Coastal Zone. Staff is in the process of developing a clear definition of Short-term Rentals and updating County codes to reflect these definitions. Staff is also in the process of evaluating proposed ordinances to regulate Short-term Rentals against all of the Local Area Plans to identify unique issues and consider appropriateness of Short-term Rentals in each area. Staff is requesting input from the Land Use Advisory Committees. Please provide input on the development of the ordinance.

Second: Also, there is a BOS meeting tomorrow and  discussion will be had which impacts STR. I’ll try to get up more about this later. Still fighting this crapola flu.

Here is one comment about the BOS meeting sent to Mary Adams’s office:

The discussions about the priority and importance of attracting (and I would hope sustainably retaining) visitors to our local economy is apparently measuring success primarily by the gross TOT collected. (See discussion of focus area on page 7 of the Strategic Initiatives report). THIS IS SERIOUSLY FLAWED REASONING. Transient Occupancy taxes are imposed to address the impacts of public facility use by folks who are not here to pay property taxes or other taxes and fees residents pay to maintain our public infrastructure. Thus properly the gross TOT collected should be first and primarily used to be sure that at least the direct impacts of visitors are addressed. In Big Sur this is certainly not the case now. The celebrated significant increased visitor traffic is resulting in a number of impacts that are being externalized to the resident public, like clearing litter and human waste, safety issues and the traffic woes of which everyone is aware, and this is unsustainable. In this area too primary emergency services are provided by volunteer fire departments, which rely on residents to staff and fund them. Cumulative wear and tear on roads, bridges, parks, trails and other public infrastructure is less immediate but also important. I don’t have direct knowledge of all the other areas affected (the 156 corridor comes to mind) but I am sure they also have needs relating to the direct impacts of increasing numbers of visitors. Please consider asking that the funds collected thru TOT be used first to address identified direct visitor impacts as this tax was created to do before being released for other general fund needs. If help is needed in identifying such impacts it can be provided! (This is of course an important element in the discussion of STR policy as well.) Thus any discussion of TOT as general fund revenue or as a measurement of success should be of the net amount after direct impacts are addressed vs the gross total.

Third, from the USFS re the community fuel breaks. A public meeting with be held 2/15/17 from 5:30-7:30 at the USFS Big Sur Station and on 2/16/17 at the Kind City Office at the same time:

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Highway One Update, 1/28/17

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Photos of Anderson Creek Slide (PM 35.4), before and after work day yesterday.

Thank you for your patience and understanding. Our Maintenance and Geotech crews have been working diligently, clearing, cleaning, and scaling as much as safely possible in response to these rock/mudslides.
***NEW INFORMATION***
*We were able to clear the slide at Anderson Cyn (PM 35.4) today, but still have numerous slides between the closure points, the largest being at: Mud Creek (PM 8.88), Paul’s Slide (PM 21.6) and Big Creek (PM 28.09)

All Motorists may travel south on Hwy. 1 from Carmel to Dolan Pt. (PM 29.70)
or travel north from Cambria to Ragged Point.

CHP is monitoring the closure at Dolan Pt.

Another update will be provided Monday, Jan. 30 around noontime, or sooner if conditions change.

Susana Z. Cruz [nature-flower-blue-motif[1]]
Caltrans District 5
Public Information Officer/

Weather: A look back, a look ahead

So far for January

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And for what is coming:

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And NOAA forecast discussion from this am:

Longer range models are still bringing rain chances back to Northern California by the middle of next week. The GFS starts to increase southerly winds ahead of the system by early Wednesday morning with rain beginning in the North Bay by mid morning and
spreading south into the rest of the district by the afternoon. The GFS brings a secondary punch of moisture through Wednesday night, with showers ending by late Thursday. The 00z ECMWF delays the onset of precipitation by about 12 hours, but also ends the
precip by late Friday. While excessive rainfall is not expected with this system, given that soils are still saturated from copious recent rainfall, there is the possibility of at least
minor hydro issues and slides. In addition, winds with this system may be quite strong and gusty, particularly from late Wednesday into Thursday.

And here is the satellite photo sent in by Dave Allen:

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Update, 1/27/17

Today’s update is the same as yesterday’s but with a photo of Cow Cliff from yesterday.

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Photo of Big Creek Slide (PM 28.09 ) from yesterday.

Thank you for your patience and understanding. Our Maintenance and Geotech crews have been working diligently, clearing, cleaning, and scaling as much as safely possible in response to these rock/mudslides.

***INFORMATION***

*We have numerous slides between the closure points, the largest being at: Mud Creek (PM 8.8, shown above), Paul’s Slide (PM 21.6), Big Creek (PM 28.09) and at Anderson Cyn. Bridge (PM 35.4)

CONTINUOUS SLIDES KEEP ROAD CLOSED FROM RAGGED POINT (SLO PM 72.87) TO FULLER’S (MON PM 42) DUE TO ROCK/MUDSLIDES AT MULTIPLE LOCATIONS. All Motorists may travel south on Hwy. 1 from Carmel to Fuller’s (PM 42) or travel north from Cambria to Ragged Point.

CHP is monitoring the closure at Fuller’s.

Another update will be provided tomorrow afternoon, Saturday, Jan. 28, or sooner if conditions change.

Susana Z. Cruz
Caltrans District 5
Public Information Officer/

A couple slide photos by DMT

Taken yesterday by Michael Troutman. Top to Bottom: Paul’s Slide, Cow Cliff, Anderson.

Also, scaling will be taking place today at Cow Cliff’s, but will make time and space for locals to get through, when possible. Unsure re Anderson, yet.

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Cal Trans Update, 1/26/17

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Photo of Rock Scaling at Anderson Canyon (PM 35.4 ) today.

Thank you for your patience and understanding. Our Maintenance and Geotech crews have been working diligently, clearing, cleaning, and scaling as much as safely possible in response to these rock/mudslides.

***NEW INFORMATION***

*We have numerous slides between the closure points, the largest being at: Mud Creek (PM 8.8, shown above), Paul’s Slide (PM 21.6), Big Creek (PM 28.09) and at Anderson Cyn. Bridge (PM 35.4)

CONTINUOUS SLIDES KEEP ROAD CLOSED FROM RAGGED POINT (SLO PM 72.87) TO FULLER’S (MON PM 42) DUE TO ROCK/MUDSLIDES AT MULTIPLE LOCATIONS. All Motorists may travel south on Hwy. 1 from Carmel to Fuller’s (PM 42) or travel north from Cambria to Ragged Point.

CHP is monitoring the closure at Fuller’s.

Another update will be provided tomorrow at noontime, Friday , Jan. 27, or sooner if conditions change.

Susana Z. Cruz
Caltrans District 5
Public Information Officer/

Palo Colorado Closure last night, 1/25/17

Below photos are tonights [ed note- last night, I couldn’t down load them] photos from the overflow of rocky creek which resulted in the hard closure of Palo at mile marker 3.3

Ed van Weijen