Storm Watch, 1/17/10

6;20 pm – CHP REPORTS A “TRAFFIC HAZARD IN THE NORTH BOUND LANE OF HIGHWAY ONE, JNO OF TREEBONES NEAR 71895 SR1… LARGE BOLDER NEAR MM 10.” GORDA IS AT 10.2, 10 IS SOUTH OF GORDA AND TREEBONES IS NORTH OF GORDA. CURRENT CHP INFO IS THIS IS NORTH OF WILLOW CREEK BRIDGE, which makes sense.

5:00 pm – it has been very quiet the last two hours. I received a total of 1.9 inches today, for a season total of 28.5 inches. Big Sur Valley reports 1 inch for today. Tomorrow’s storm is predicted to be stronger.

3:30 rain has stopped for the last 1/2 hour.

2:30 pm – current rain total for today, 1.75 inches and still climbing. Current radar map to follow when the internet allows:

1:30 pm – current rain total for today, 1.5 inches.

12:30 pm – up to one inch, so far.

Current (noon) radar

11:30 am – ROAD REPORTS – Traffic Accident near Radio Point around 10 am of solo vehicle on roof, in flames. CHP on the scene now at 11:30 am and rescue going on as I type. There is another accident JSO of Bixby of vehicle over the side 120 ft. from roadway. Two injured have been recovered as I type. Pole leaning into roadway JSO Big Sur at 10 am. HEAVY rain being reported south of Pt. Lobos. Obviously dangerous conditions, so if you must drive, drive VERY carefully! And this is the just the first, “mild” storm.

11:30 am – looks like 6/10ths now, or about a 1/10th an hour up here on my roost.

10:30 am – Contacts in Pebble Beach and Big Sur Valley state it is raining in both places, as it is here. No longer steady drizzle, but definite rain. NOW up to 1/2 inch!

9:30 am Current radar map

8:00 am – almost 1/2 an inch of rain last night/this morning –correction, received 4/10ths — and I have no idea when it started. No rain in San Jose. More reports as they are gathered or submitted. Three reports issued by NOAA:

One…HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR THE COAST AND COASTAL MOUNTAINS FROM SAN FRANCISCO SOUTH THROUGH MONTEREY COUNTY…

Two … THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA AND MONTEREY BAY AREA.

.DAY ONE…SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT

AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A SERIES OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT CALIFORNIA DURING THE WEEK. DUE TO MANY DAYS OF RAINFALL ACCUMULATION…HYDROLOGIC CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION…THESE STORMS ARE FORECAST TO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS BOTH OVER THE WATER AND LAND. DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

IN ADDITION…A LARGE WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL WILL MOVE INTO COASTAL LOCATIONS STARTING LATE TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD TO AROUND 25 FEET BY WEDNESDAY WITH EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

Three … MOST IMPORTANTLY…WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY IS WHEN FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL ON MANY SMALLER STREAMS HAVE THE GREATEST CHANCE OF HAPPENING. BY THIS POINT THOUGH…THE MAIN STEM RIVERS SHOULD ALL STILL BE WELL WITHIN THEIR BANKS.

AFTER ANOTHER BRIEF BREAK TUESDAY NIGHT THE RAIN PICKS UP AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL POTENTIAL OF THE WEEK. THE ASSOCIATED LARGER SCALE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE STARTING TO HEAD
INLAND. THIS COULD MEAN SEVERAL WAVES OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN DURING THAT TIME. RAINFALL TOTALS FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY COULD EASILY REACH AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH THE WORST OF IT OVER THE COASTAL RANGES.

THIS HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK IS INTENDED TO HIGHLIGHT A HAZARDOUS FLOOD SCENARIO THAT IS DEVELOPING. ALTHOUGH NOT COMPLETELY SURE OF THE LEVEL OF SEVERITY THIS WEEKS EVENTS WILL REACH…CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT IT WILL BE SIGNIFICANT AT A MINIMUM.

One thought on “Storm Watch, 1/17/10

  1. And today, I drove north up to deliver my fish in Oakland Chinatown…yes, it rained like the dickens all the way up.Interestingly the heaviest rain was from Prunedale through Gilroy.
    Checked the rain gauge in Carmel, and the dump was a good .6 inches.

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