Detail Information
2:09 PM 3 [4] 1039 SALCOMM W/INFO
2:06 PM 2 [3] REQ TO NTFY TMC AND NTFY MTRY COMM PRIOR TO 1600 HRS
2:06 PM 1 [1] CLOSE SR1 AT 1600 HRS UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE CAL TRANS LUCIA AT RAGGED
Tag: Big Sur
NWS Forecast Update, 1/7/17
And lastly, this from NOAA tonight:
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area/Monterey California
Updated Rainfall Totals: Significant rainfall is still forecast to occur through Monday afternoon. Here is our current thinking of how much rainfall will fall over the next 48 hours or so. 2-4″ will be likely for most urban areas across the SF/Monterey Bay Areas. Be extra cautious when driving this weekend. Ponding and flooding of roads will be a big threat. Do not try to drive through flooded roads. Stay safe.
MoCo OES Saturday Update #1
Good morning Everyone.
Distribution to CAO + Key MoCo staff, CPOA, Elected +Staff, MoCo Vol Leadership
Just finished an NWS Weather Briefing.
Synopsis:
Timing of storm still on track. Heaviest rain starting late Saturday night into early Sunday morning.
Bull-eye of storm is still TBD, at least the full brunt of the storm is still fluctuating. Looks to be slightly north of MoCo we’ll still get plenty of rain and wind.
Winds this morning are gusting to 40 mph in Monterey and 46 in Big Sur, 21 in King City. Winds are forecast to be strong between 7a-10a Sunday at the same gust levels – 40+ mph.
Still anticipating 8-10″ of rain along the coast with 12-14″ in the higher elevations.
Tides – may it through high tide this morning without any reported incidents. High tide tomorrow at 7:22 a.m. and storm surge not consider to be a problem for MoCo. Tide will be at 6.45 feet with maybe a 1/2 foot storm surge.
Rain once it starts along the coast will be pretty steady and during the overnight hours is forecast to see rain rate of 1-1-1/2″ per hours for extended period.
There are some minor power outages; Carmel highlands – 56 people, Jamesburg – 28, PG 25
OES is monitoring all the time for any changes and will update as warranted. OES Duty Officer and Emergency Manager have been briefed.
I’ll continue to monitor and update as warranted.
Rain and Road Reports, 1/7/17
9 pm – and yet another one:
Incident: 00348 Type: Roadway Flooding Location: 47200 Sr1 Loc Desc: FERNWOOD RIVER AREA Lat/Lon: 36.303039 -121.880112
Detail Information
NO DETAILS
Incident: 00168 Type: Roadway Flooding Location: Sr1 / Andrew Molera State Park Loc Desc: Lat/Lon: 36.288901 -121.846554
Detail Information
12:31 PM 1 [2] 1039 CALTRANS
Noon – Three Peaks and Chalk Peak up to almost 2″
11:15 – Elkhorn Slough Rd. Expected to be closed for a month due to sink hole.
11 am – Paul’s slide puked again:
Incident: 00125 Type: Road/Weather Conditions Location: X Loc Desc: Lat/Lon: 0:0
Detail Information
10:56 AM 1 [1] SLIDE JSO LUCIA BACK AGAIN / CT 1097 / WORKING TO CLR THE RD
9:30 – So, I have posted the 20″ in 2 days model of the NAM, the 40″ in 10 days NCEP and now here is the third model, GFS. They all seem to be in agreement that we are due to be hammered. This was originally an animated GIF, but I can’t post those here, and haven’t figured out how to post to FB so here are a couple of screen shots. BTW, at 9 am, over an inch at Big Sur Station, Chalk Peak, and Three Peaks. Black Cone was at 1 and 1/2″
5:30 am – Big Sur starts out the day with:
“As of 5 am about 0.50 inches of rain in Big Sur, 0.12 in downtown San Francisco and 0.25 around Santa Rosa. #CAStorm” per NWS. Per automatic gauges, Mining Ridge has .47″, Three Peaks has .51″ and Chalk Peak is missing its data. The heaviest rain is expected tonight into Sunday morning.
High Wind Advisories in effect through tomorrow. Howling pretty good up here.
NWS Weekend Forecast update
This is by far the worst prediction 20-24″ in TWO days?? *(Insert favorite swear word here)
…Strong storm still on track to impact our region… (I’ve edited this to make it more specific for our area, but deleting SF Info.) NOTE: Remember, watch is to signify that the even is likely, but WARNING MEANS IT IS EMINENT.
UPDATE
· In general the forecast is generally the same as yesterday.
· Flash flood watch has been posted.
· Wind advisory and high wind watch is now in effect.
IMPACTS
*Impact 1 (Rain and Flooding) :
· Widespread rainfall through the weekend.
· 2 1/2″ to 4 1/2″ for most urban areas.
· 5-10″ for higher elevation spots. Locally higher amounts possible.
· Urban and small stream flooding is likely with the potential for stream and river flooding.
· Please see attached image for locations for the Flash Flood Watch and the rain forecast.
*Impact 2 (Wind):
· Southerly winds of 20 to 35 mph can be expected with local gusts over 50 mph possible. Higher elevation locations could see gusts over 60 mph.
· Drought stressed trees and weaken roots due to wet soil may fall down as a result of these wind speeds.
· Please see the attached images for wind speed forecasts.
*Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories as of 3 pm Friday:
WFO San Francisco/Monterey – MTR (Back to Top)
Outlook
Jan 07 1:00pm PST
Monterey
County
High Wind Warning
· Santa Lucia Mountains
Expires in: 22h 2m
Jan 07 1:00pm PST
Flash Flood Watch
· Santa Lucia Mountains
Expires in: 61h 2m
Jan 09 4:00am PST
Small Craft Advisory
· Pigeon Pt to Piedras Blancas 10-60 nm
· Monterey Bay
Expires in: 42h 2m
Jan 08 9:00am PST
Wind Advisory
· Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast
· Northern Salinas Hollister & Carmel Vlys
Expires in: 22h 2m
High Wind Warning
· Santa Cruz Mountains
Expires in: 37h 2m
Jan 08 4:00am PST
Flash Flood Watch
· San Francisco Bay Shore
· Santa Cruz Mountains
· San Francisco Penn Coast
High Wind Warning
· Santa Cruz Mountains
Expires in: 37h 2m
Jan 08 4:00am PST
Flash Flood Watch
· Santa Clara Valley
· Santa Cruz Mountains
· Northern Monterey Bay
· San Francisco Penn Coast
Expires in: 56h 2m
Jan 08 11:00pm PST
Small Craft Advisory
· Monterey Bay
Expires in: 42h 2m
Jan 08 9:00am PST
Wind Advisory
· Northern Monterey Bay
· San Francisco Penn Coast
· Santa Clara Valley
Expires in: 22h 2m
· For all current watch/warning/advisories, http://1.usa.gov/1boSTTW
FORECAST CONFIDENCE
· Precipitation: Moderate to High
· Wind: Moderate to High
TIMING
· Through the weekend for both rainfall and winds.
· Flooding concern will continue into Monday.
LOCATIONS
· This is for the entire San Francisco and Monterey Bay Region.
Rain & Road Reports, 1/5/17
2:30 pm – I am adding the following link to the Carmel River Watershed to my list of links to the right, but you might want to bookmark it. You will really want to watch this this weekend. Remember the Bailey Bridge???
1:15 Highway completely open.
11:45 am – Okay, got the notice from Cal Trans. Just as they were getting ready to open, Paul’s Slide (MM 21.6) dumped. Mud Creek (MM 8.8) is now open to LOCALS ONLY, who can get from Ragged Point to MM 20, but not past Pauls Slide. Another assessment at 2 pm,
9 am – Cal Trans sent out a notice that Highway One remains closed this morning. They will reassess the situation at 11 am. I will notify all here at that time, so check back around 11;30.
On another note, my AirPort Extreme quit, so I am trying to configure up an old lap top so that I can connect with my satellite, without too much luck. I can still post here and do emails with my cell service, it is just slow and sometimes intermittent.
As to FB, we are still battling, but I don’t think they will let me use BigSur Kate. I may have to use Kate “bigsurkate” Novoa. Still working with them, sort of. Despite all the comments emails, etc. They are being a horse’s a$$
Highway One to remain closed
At 3 pm, a vehicle that went around the closure had an accident at Burns Creek by hitting some rocks, which caused his car to leak fluids. Yes, that is what happens. That is why the road is closed. Use your common sense, people.
Here is one by Brendon Shave of Paul’s Slide this afternoon. The rest of these are by Cal Trans. Please feel free to share on FB, I am still banned, but almost worked out.
There are too many active slides that cannot be stopped nor cleared before dark, so the road will remain closed from Fuller’s to Ragged Point. All of these slides shown in the photos are on the rambunctious South Coast, of course. Thank goodness we didn’t have a fire, or we wouldn’t see anyone until Spring – still may not, if this weekend’s storm comes in as predicted. Will let you know what happens tomorrow. Here are some photos supplied by Cal Trans
Okay, top one looks like Paul’s Slide, south of Lucia. Second one looks like Mud Creek, and last one also looks like Mud Creek from the other side, but can’t be sure. Could be Villa.
Pacific Valley School closed
The School is closed today, as the bus could not get north to pick up students. Paul’s slide is apparently quite active. And our teacher from Cambria could not get through. I know CT was out at first light, and I have been promised a report when they open the road so will let all know.
Rain & Road Reports 1/4/17
Here are the rain totals from NWS for Big Sur. Note how high they were on the South Coast:
72 Hr Storm total rainfall Big Sur coast. #AtmosphericRiver
Anderson Peak 11.72
Mining Ridge 9.67
Chalk Peak 12.59
Three Peaks 13.17
Riverside Campground this morning, by Wendy Waters.
As of 1 pm, Cal Trans (CT) has no ETA on when they will be able to open the highway. I expect an update around dusk.
Here is a photo of the Big Sur River near the Lodge by Howard Jones:
Okay, now this is scary. This map shows a maximum of 45″ in the next 10 days. (See top of chart in white on right.) Yeah, in the brightest purple spots, which seems to include Big Sur.
10 am – Well, here you g0. The South Coast got hammered and it is still raining, although not as hard. FYI, I am between Chalk Peak and Three Peaks:
From Barbara Sexton, just before the Post Office:
Atmospheric River Explained:
8:30 am another yucky one from Lisa K – ashes to the ocean
8:3o am – Per Sander Koning: “There’s a new active slide right north of the Hawthorne home driveway east side of the highway.”
8 am – Black water coming out of Garrapata Creek. Photo by Lisa Kleissner:
6 am – I have received 5″ of rain, 3 of them since midnight. Currently raining at the rate of 1″ an hour. I think the meteorologists nailed this one.
In addition to the road being closed from Fuller’s (42.2 MM) and Ragged Point, there is this vehicle vs. slide at Ventana:
Incident: 00101 Type: Trfc Collision-No Inj Location: Sr1 / Ventana Loc Desc: SR1 / VENTANA, MM 44.9 Lat/Lon: 36.233742 -121.767075
Detail Information
6:11 AM 5 [7] [Rotation Request Comment] 1039 CARMEL / 831-24-3827
6:10 AM 4 [6] VEH IFO VENTANA
6:08 AM 3 [5] VEH IS RENTAL / WILL NEED 1110
6:07 AM 2 [4] VEH ON RS / FLASHERS ON
6:05 AM 1 [2] VEH VS SLIDE
Road Conditions, 1/03/17
And another:
Incident: 00405 Type: Traffic Hazard Location: Sr1 At Pacific Valley, Mm 14.6 Loc Desc: MY-001-0146 Lat/Lon: 35.947120 -121.477310
Detail Information
9:24 PM 5 [8] 1039 S4, ADVZD TO HAVE 62G CONTIN AFTER CLEARING MY270
9:18 PM 4 [4] WHI JEEP HIT TREE BUT CONTINUED ON
9:17 PM 3 [3] PER RP TREE IS ACROSS THE RDWY
9:16 PM 2 [2] 1 VEH HAS ALREADY HIT IT
9:15 PM 1 [1] TREE DOWN IN RDWY
It is beginning …
Incident: 00372 Type: Traffic Hazard Location: Sr1 N / Lighthouse Loc Desc: NB 1 AT THE LIGHTHOUSE Lat/Lon: 36.312467 -121.888747
Detail Information
8:15 PM 5 [8] PER DOT WILL NOT SEND EQUIP OUT AT THIS TIME OF NIGHT BUT WILL RESP TO CLOSE HWY
8:14 PM 4 [7] PER 27-S4 UNIT WILL ASSESS AND ADVISE IF DOT NEEDS TO RESP FOR RD CLOSURE
8:14 PM 3 [5] 1039 DOT JOHNSTON
8:07 PM 2 [4] 1039 DOT MR CORTEZ
8:04 PM 1 [2] LGE BOULDER IN THE NB LN
Unit Information
8:08 PM 1 Unit Assigned